29-5 YTD...17-0 Streak...Week 5 Winners Inside....

  Wellllll........ Ladies and Gentlemen, Boys and Girls, Children of All Ages....

Its no big secret that Ive been an EPIC Run the past 2 Weeks, as I've gone 7-0 (wk3) and 8-0 (wk4), plus 2 other Wins from wk2, Im sitting on an unprecedented 17-Game Winning Streak!!! 

The past couple weeks.... Ive been blessed with Some Solid Info, mixed with Some Good Luck, mixed with Some Savvy Betting Experience.... and It's ALL FINALLY paying off!!! 

My Overall Record is Sitting at 29-5 YTD... Thats an 83% Winning Percentage!!!

 

WEEK 5 WINNERS:

 

Indy -6.5 (hook) vs Kansas City: Well Im gonna start off my picks with my Favorite Pick of the Week... Let me be clear, I REALLY Like the Colts this Week at Home, Laying a TD against KC!! Im not big on "trends" or any of those betting patterns but I absolutely LOVE Indy coming back Home, after losing on the Road to an inner-division foe, who knows them all too well... Now they come home, to face a 3-0 Chiefs Team whos coming out of their Bye-Week, looking to improve to 4-0 at the Colts expense. This reminds me of 2 Weeks ago when TB was 2-0 facing the Steelers and the Spread was WAAAAYY too little bc the Bucs were Undefeated and the Steelers had some question marks... That game was an ABSOLUTE GIFT and this game is EERILY Similar to that one!! A lot of people are expecting KC to have A LOT of success Running the Ball against the Colts Defense, thus keeping the game close and allowing them to possibly "pull a Jaguars" by hanging around all game, and pulling away late. The Colts defense has faced Cassel once before when he was on NE and he didnt have much success vs them (204 Yds, 0 TDs, 1 int), not that 1 game is a large enough sample size to draw a conclusion from, I do expect Cassel to have just an OK game vs the Colts, either Turning the Ball over more times than passing TDs or equal value. The Colts will more the ball with absolute EASE and their Defense will make Timely Stops..... I FULLY expect the Colts to ROLL to a 3 Score Victory!!! (I'm LAYING 4-UNITS on this Game!)

 

Detroit -2.5 (hook) vs St. Louis: Detroits played well enough to have ATLEAST 1 Win, having lost 3 games by 5, 3, and 2 Points... They have only 1 Home Game so far this season, where they Lost to the Eagles by 3 Points, 35-32 in Wk2, so theyve proven to be a LIVE Home Team! St. Louis has only 1 Road Game, having Lost to Oakland, so their Road play isnt quite "clear" or "accurately predictable"... St. Louis put A LOT into lastwks Win against Seattle, since they are an NFC West Rival, and that Division is Always up for grabs every season, since noones very good in that Division. St Louis is going to be physically and emotionally spent and I look for St Louis to have a big let-down after that big Win at home against Seattle. Now they go on the Road into Mo-Town, against a Team who's 0-4 Record Doesnt say anything for their effort or skill level!!! Detroits got Weapons on Offense and their Defense has come a LOOONG WAY! Im convinced that Detroit Wins by a solid margin, something like 10-14 Points... I Love ONLY laying 2.5 Pts here!!!

 

Buffalo -1 vs Jacksonville: a QB Change, a former All-Pro RB Shipped outta town, and an 0-4 Record to boot... oh, and Did I mention that this team is Favored by 1 point and is facing a team who just beat the Defending AFC Champions the prior Week!?!? Ok, Im just making sure that I mentioned EVERYTHING that the betting public sees when picking Jacksonville... Did I name EVERY Obvious betting angle on why I should pick the Jags? Great!!! Now to my point... Jacksonville is just AWFUL on the Road, Especially leaving their Division. Buffalo is committing to their new QB and is Finally going to have a more conventional RB By Committee, with Fred Jackson getting the Start and CJ Spiller returning Kicks and being inserted when Big Plays are needed. Jacksonville just plays SO different on the Road and their Running Game will NOT be as effective, while their QB Play is JUST AWFUL when they leave their Home field!! Dont get me wrong, the Bills might just be the Worst Team in the NFL, but they have a SERIOUS opportunity to Win their 1st Game this Week... and I think they get it DONE!!!

 

Arizona +7.5 vs New Orleans: New Orleans barely escaped San Fran with a Win, in Wk2, and I expect a similar outcome in Wk5. In all actuality, Im expecting Arizona to Win this one outright and would definitely take the ML Bet, but I LOVE the 7.5 Points! The QB change has everyone jumping ship on the Cards but trust me, noone can be worse than DA has been!! The Saints just arent the ELITE SB Defending Champs that everyone thinks they are and are going on the Road, against an Arizona team with a chip on their shoulder. Pierre Thomas appears to be OUT again and Bush is still OUT, leaving Ladell Betts and Chris Ivory to Shoulder the ENTIRE Load. Ivory CANNOT Pass Block AT ALL but he gets the GL Carries, while Betts is in on ALL Passing downs and 3rd Downs, but is NOT Very Effective! The Saints ARE NOT Running the Ball very well and Brees doesnt have all his weapons in the Passing Game (Bush is his X-factor), so he hasnt been able to completely Dominate through the Air. N'awlens Defense and Special Teams hasnt been nearly as opportunistic as they were lastyr and that was obviously to be expected but with their RBs being Depleted, their Offense IS NOT Elite AND Their D/STs ARE NOT making plays this year... Plain and Simple, NO is VERY vulnerable to an outright Loss this week but ill GLADLY take the Points!!!

 

Oakland +6 vs San Diego: the Chargers just ARE NOT a very good Road team, having posted BAD Losses @ KC and @ Seattle... Now they go on the Road @ Oakland (an AFC West Rival!!!). Gimme the HOMEDOG, getting close to a TD!! People are GROSSLY overrating the Loss of Run DMC (Darren McFadden), as Michael Bush "might" have stole the Featured Back Role coming out of training camp, had he not gotten hurt towards the end of Preseason. A LOT of people close to the Raiders agree that Mike Bush is the "better back" in Oaklands backfield rotation, and he might just prove all his followers right this Weekend!! I expect Bush to Run with A LOT of purpose and determination this Sunday, posting a BIG DAY against SDs Rushing Defense!!! Nnamdi wont have a bonafide #1 WR to slow-down but whoever he decides to "lock-down" this Sunday will struggle, limiting either Malcom Floyd, Legedu Nanee, or maybe even shadowing Gates at times... Oaklands Defense and Special Teams will come up HUGE with a TD and/or GREAT Field Position ALL DAY!!! I expect Oakland to not only be in this game, but to Contest the Outright Win!! I Like the ML but I Love the Pts!!

 

All Plays are 1 Units (Other than the Indy Play, I Posted 4 Units on that game!)

 

I currently have 5 Posted Plays, but I plan on Posting 6-8 Total Plays... so just grab your Pop-Corn and please Stay Tuned for More WINNERS to Come!!!

 

 

GOODLUCK To EVERYONE READING This Thread This Week!!!!   

 

Lets ALL PRAY that we STAY RED-HOT!!!! 

 

To Those With Me  

To Those Against Me  

Let The GOOD-TIMES ROLL!!!!

 

 

BOL To You ALL !!!! 

BOL  WHAT A RECORD CONGRATS

Like the Indy and Buffalo plays (see my thread). Laying off the StL-Detroit game.

Good luck this week.

Keep it rolling, like your Arizona pick

I hope all your bets connect man, I'm also taking indy for sure, BOL!

15 in a row is amazing in any sports but especially ATS in the nfl
i have indy in my survivor pool and you just solidified it for me!

wow. these are 4 that I had already liked

wat do u thin bout lions losing 3.5 not 2.5...

oh, and oakland too

What's a hook?

The Raiders are tough to take but I will stay away from the Chargers since you are red hot. Good luck this week!  

Love the Indy write-up

GL bets, great work.

thanks for posting your plays,I know I speak for everyone when I say we really appreciate it.

love buffalo at home this week as well.

Keep it rollin bro

this is my first week following you, to be honest my first week actually betting on pro sports so i just wanted to say thanks for taking your time and putting all this effort in. i'm only just getting started with handicapping but i'm learning a lot from you already. thanks again for your hard work and your picks ! BOL!

GL

GL buddy

Since I'm from the south, lemme give a little more exact info regarding the N.O./Ariz game.

Sean Payton LOVES Chris Ivory.  Pierre Thomas is on a 1 year contract, and if Ivory can stop fumbling (fumbled in ATL territory on 4th down, fumbled DEEP in Carolina terriroty last week), this kid WILL replace Pierre Thomas next year.  He runs mean and hard with deceptive speed.  Betts has healed from surgery and also gives the Saints that physical presence they want to continue to upgrade.  Ivory plays more than just GL.  He is the feature back, not Betts.  With Ivory and Betts last week, Saints had their best rushing game of the season, not to mention the Saints O-line is easily top 5 in the league.  THERE IS NO DROP OFF IN THE RUN GAME FOR THE SAINTS, and looking at last week, it's been an upgrade.

Secondly, Saints offense has picked up steam lately despite the 16 points last week.  They walked up and down the field on Carolina, but left points on the field (fumbles deep in enemy territory, fumble at the goal line), but they fully expect to score 30 per game, and feels as though they lost if they don't.

Last, Gregg Williams eats young QBs for breakfast.  Saints multiple/blitzing fronts will give Hall fits. 

Just thought I'd throw more accurate info out there regarding this game.  I don't feel it's a good spot for Arizona.  Saints feel they have underachieved, and want to shellack Zona to serve notice.  Saints had averaged 33.3 points per game WITHOUT Reggie Bush.  The key to the Saints machine is always Drew Brees.

 on the rest of those plays

GL Bets2Win

 

I will be adding somewhere around 1-3 More Plays... The Potential 1-3 that I decide to Add, are completely in the Air right now!

 

Lastwk, I posted the "plays" that I was "leaning" towards just for fun, and I will do the same this week... Let me start off by saying, NONE OF THESE GAMES ARE LOCKED IN.... YET! (until I say so!). The following list of 1-3 Games are just "thoughts" and "leans", NOT Plays....

 

 

Green Bay -2.5 @ Washington Intrigues Me A LOT! HONESTLY, the second I saw this Spread, I thought "POUND GB!!!" but upon further review, GB isnt a "given"... infact, to the "untrained eye", Green Bay is a SERIOUS "Sucker Bet"... Id say the ONLY Factors holding me back are GB going onto the Road here, into a Hostile Washington Atmosphere, All of GBs Recent Injury Woes, and the Redskins newfound ability to Run the Ball GOOD with Ryan Torain (he showed flashes lastwk and "could" completely breakout this week...) even though GBs Run-Defense is ALWAYS Stout, Torain "could" find some lanes and have a GOOD Day Rushing the Football for the Skins... Im VERY Torn here but my "lean" is DEFINITELY towards the GB Packers! I have an idea of how this game is supposed to go but with the Packers Lack of Running Game, NO REAL Running Back, and Rash of Injuries Lately, has me COMPLETELY Torn now!!! If you talked to me Tues or Wed, I probably "Loved" Green Bay... A LOT has changed since then!!!

Cleveland +3 vs Atlanta is another VERY Intriguing Game to me... At first Glance, Cleveland Plus the Points is the Right Pick here but upon further review, this game quickly becomes a "pick your own poison" kinda game!!! Cleveland finished off lastyr strong and looked like they could be that team that just "Snuck Up" on a few opponents going into this year but after a TERRIBLE Start to the 2010 Season, theyre right back where they started last season... An Awful Team and a Disguisting Bet!!! Cleveland can do 1 thing VERY Well this season... and thats Pound the Football on the Ground, and anytime you have a Power-Running Game and a Decent Defense, you have a SERIOUS Chance to Win on ANY GIVEN SUNDAY!!!! Atlanta FLIRTS with Stardom ALL the TIME but they NEVER DOMINATE when they SHOULD!!! Expect more of the same MEDIOCRICY from the Falcons this Sunday!!! Similar to lastwks Cleveland Play, theres a solid chance that I might add this one late to my card, but if I do... You'll Know About it!!!!

Houston -3 vs NYG is not surprising to those that know me... for some strange reason, every single week, like clockwork, I like Houston! HaHa... as a DOG, as a FAV, on the Road, or @ Home... I just LOVE them for some Strange Reason!!! I ONLY play them when my Head and my Heart actually Matchup and make sense, otherwise... Dont waste your time with my Houston Picks bc I have some strange, built-in Bias Towards LOVING the Texans (im NOT from Texas, im Born and Raised in NY, so its NOT that!)

Philly +3 @ San Francisco is another REALLY REALLY Interesting game thats gonna be like "I told ya so!" right after its over... maybe right AFTER the 1st Half or even 1st Qrtr!!! Its ALL gonna depend and HINGE on this backup QB!!! Can Alex Smiths backup QB get it done!?!? I mean, SF Already Runs the Ball well enough to Win a Game and their Defense has been shredded thus far, but its NOT paper-mache... then again, theyre 0-4! Philly, on the otherhand is right back at square-one... Kolb is their starting QB... With that said, that LONE Factor Leads me to BELIEVE that the Eagles are going to ROLLLLLL Here! Like BIG-TIIIIIME!!!! by like 38-17... Kolb has a HUGE Game and Creates a QB Controversy... they were ready to move on PAST McNabb with Kolb as their Starting QB, obviously the Guys got A LOT of talent to back it up! Hes got weapons for sure but I am VERY worried about LeSean McCoy, the underrated Westbrook Clone is dealing with fractured ribs so even if he does play, how effective will he be in the passing game? Will he provide those VERY Important Check-Downs incase the Eagles O-Line DOESNT protect Kolb (which theyve struggled with all season)>? or maybe even MORE Important, will he be able to Stay in and Pass Block with Broken Ribs?? If NOT, we could be looking at some SERIOUS Kevin Kolb SACKS and potential TURNOVERS, Leading to POINTS off of Turnovers and Potential Field Position AAAALLLLLLL NIIIIIIGHT LONG!!!!! This one is VERY VERY Tricky bc if McCoy's Ribs can hold up all game, I personally think the Eagles Roll BIIIG here!!! The Problem is that, if they CANNOT Hold Up, San Francisco will Apply SERIOUS Pressure on Kolb and his pass-protection will SURELY Breakdown and allow the 49ers Defense to penetrate their O-Line AALLLL Day/Night and Create HAVOK for Kolb, forcing Poor Decisions and Terrible Field Position AALLLL Day/Night!!!! This "could" happen mid-2nd qrtr, or mid-4th qrtr, etc, or this may not happen at all.... we shall see!!!! I LOVE the Eagles with ALL Health Considered!!!!

GL