Posted:
#1476
BetEd offers 1 or 2 runs in first inning.
0
New Strategy
Posted:
#1478
FINAL RECAP
11.55 units won since last chase loss.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Tuesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 91-80 (53%) since June 19.
13:00_Game_1_chw/det__Y_+100_
19:00_Game_2_nym/atl__Y__+135_
or
19:00_Game_2_phi/fla_Y__+135_
20:00_Game_3_hou/stl_Y__+130_
43-3, +1.25 unit
20:40_Game_4_sfo/col__Y/N_-115_no play
21:40_Game_5_was/arz__N_+100_
22:00_Game_6_sdp/lad_Y__+150_
Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_nym/atl__y_+135_L
or
19:00_phi/fla___y_+135_L
20:00_hou/stl__y_+125_W
20:40_sfo/col___n_-110_L
21:40_was/arz_n_+100_L
22:00_sdp/lad__y_+150_W
AL
13:00_chw/det_y_+100_L
19:00_min/tbr_y_+105_W
or
19:00_laa/bal_n_+105_W
22:00_tex/sea_y_+135_L
11.55 units won since last chase loss.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Tuesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 91-80 (53%) since June 19.
13:00_Game_1_chw/det__Y_+100_
19:00_Game_2_nym/atl__Y__+135_
or
19:00_Game_2_phi/fla_Y__+135_
20:00_Game_3_hou/stl_Y__+130_
43-3, +1.25 unit20:40_Game_4_sfo/col__Y/N_-115_no play
21:40_Game_5_was/arz__N_+100_
22:00_Game_6_sdp/lad_Y__+150_
Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_nym/atl__y_+135_L
or
19:00_phi/fla___y_+135_L
20:00_hou/stl__y_+125_W
20:40_sfo/col___n_-110_L
21:40_was/arz_n_+100_L
22:00_sdp/lad__y_+150_W
AL
13:00_chw/det_y_+100_L
19:00_min/tbr_y_+105_W
or
19:00_laa/bal_n_+105_W
22:00_tex/sea_y_+135_L
0
Posted:
#1479
FINAL RECAP
11.55 units won since last chase loss.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Tuesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 93-84 (52%) since June 19.
Version 2.0 Favorites
13:00_Game_1_chw/det__n_-130_W
19:00_Game_2_nym/atl__n__-165_W
or
19:00_Game_2_phi/fla_n__-165_W
20:00_Game_3_hou/stl_n__-155_L
20:40_Game_4_sfo/col__Y_-120_W
21:40_Game_5_was/arz__y_-130_W
22:00_Game_6_sdp/lad_n__-180_L
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_nym/atl__N_-165_W
or
19:00_phi/fla___N_-165_W
20:00_hou/stl__N_-155_L
20:40_sfo/col___Y_-120_W
21:40_was/arz_Y_-130_W
22:00_sdp/lad__N_-180_L
AL
13:00_chw/det_N_-130_W
19:00_min/tbr_N_-135_L
or
19:00_laa/bal_Y_-135_L
22:00_tex/sea_N_-165_W
11.55 units won since last chase loss.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Tuesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 93-84 (52%) since June 19.
Version 2.0 Favorites
13:00_Game_1_chw/det__n_-130_W
19:00_Game_2_nym/atl__n__-165_W
or
19:00_Game_2_phi/fla_n__-165_W
20:00_Game_3_hou/stl_n__-155_L
20:40_Game_4_sfo/col__Y_-120_W
21:40_Game_5_was/arz__y_-130_W
22:00_Game_6_sdp/lad_n__-180_L
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_nym/atl__N_-165_W
or
19:00_phi/fla___N_-165_W
20:00_hou/stl__N_-155_L
20:40_sfo/col___Y_-120_W
21:40_was/arz_Y_-130_W
22:00_sdp/lad__N_-180_L
AL
13:00_chw/det_N_-130_W
19:00_min/tbr_N_-135_L
or
19:00_laa/bal_Y_-135_L
22:00_tex/sea_N_-165_W
0
Posted:
#1484
Version 1.0 Dogs
Wednesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 93-84 (52%) since June 19.
12:30_cin/pit__y_+115_44-3, +1.15 units
DOUBLE TAP
15:00_sfo/col__y_+110_
15:30_kcr/oak_y_+120_
19:00_min/tbr_y_+110_
20:00_hou/stl_y_+130_
21:40_was/arz_n_+100
22:00_tex/sea_y_+130_
22:00_sdp/lad_y_+130_
Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_y_+115_Win
mil/chc_y_-110_
sfo/col_y_+110_
nym/atl_y_+105_
hou/stl_y_+130_
was/arz_n_+100_
sdp/lad_y_+130_
AL
tor/nyy_n_-105
kcr/oak_y_+120
min/tbr_y_+110
tex/sea_y_+130
Version 2.0 Favorites
12:30_cin/pit__n_-145_Loss
15:00_sfo/col__n_-120_
15:30_kcr/oak_n_-150_
19:00_min/tbr_n_-140_
20:00_hou/stl_n_-160_
21:40_was/arz_y_-130_
22:00_tex/sea_n_-160_
22:00_sdp/lad_n_-160_
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_n_-145_Loss
mil/chc_n_-120_
sfo/col_n_-140_
nym/atl_n_-135_
hou/stl_n_-160_
was/arz_y_-130_
sdp/lad_n_-160_
AL
tor/nyy_y_-125_
kcr/oak_n_-150
min/tbr_n_-140
tex/sea_n_-160
Wednesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 43-3 (52.90 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 26-2 (33.10 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 93-84 (52%) since June 19.
12:30_cin/pit__y_+115_
44-3, +1.15 unitsDOUBLE TAP
15:00_sfo/col__y_+110_
15:30_kcr/oak_y_+120_
19:00_min/tbr_y_+110_
20:00_hou/stl_y_+130_
21:40_was/arz_n_+100
22:00_tex/sea_y_+130_
22:00_sdp/lad_y_+130_
Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_y_+115_Win
mil/chc_y_-110_
sfo/col_y_+110_
nym/atl_y_+105_
hou/stl_y_+130_
was/arz_n_+100_
sdp/lad_y_+130_
AL
tor/nyy_n_-105
kcr/oak_y_+120
min/tbr_y_+110
tex/sea_y_+130
Version 2.0 Favorites
12:30_cin/pit__n_-145_Loss
15:00_sfo/col__n_-120_
15:30_kcr/oak_n_-150_
19:00_min/tbr_n_-140_
20:00_hou/stl_n_-160_
21:40_was/arz_y_-130_
22:00_tex/sea_n_-160_
22:00_sdp/lad_n_-160_
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_n_-145_Loss
mil/chc_n_-120_
sfo/col_n_-140_
nym/atl_n_-135_
hou/stl_n_-160_
was/arz_y_-130_
sdp/lad_n_-160_
AL
tor/nyy_y_-125_
kcr/oak_n_-150
min/tbr_n_-140
tex/sea_n_-160
0
Posted:
#1489
Hey Smitty!
Buried alive at work, but I continue to view this thread DAILY. Been with you since the beginning. I keep it simple and play your earliest version, best moneyline AL or NL for the time slot. If there is a tie, not much of a tie breaker, but I play the first listed. With a modest bankroll, I only play for one win, chasing with each play, beginning .75%, 1.5%, 3%, and 4.5% if necessary.
Thanks for your efforts, and please continue to post for the "silent majority", who still lurk in your thread without the time to post.
Buried alive at work, but I continue to view this thread DAILY. Been with you since the beginning. I keep it simple and play your earliest version, best moneyline AL or NL for the time slot. If there is a tie, not much of a tie breaker, but I play the first listed. With a modest bankroll, I only play for one win, chasing with each play, beginning .75%, 1.5%, 3%, and 4.5% if necessary.
Thanks for your efforts, and please continue to post for the "silent majority", who still lurk in your thread without the time to post.
0
Posted:
#1490
Quote Originally Posted by Prime1:
Hey Smitty!
Buried alive at work, but I continue to view this thread DAILY. Been with you since the beginning. I keep it simple and play your earliest version, best moneyline AL or NL for the time slot. If there is a tie, not much of a tie breaker, but I play the first listed. With a modest bankroll, I only play for one win, chasing with each play, beginning .75%, 1.5%, 3%, and 4.5% if necessary.
Thanks for your efforts, and please continue to post for the "silent majority", who still lurk in your thread without the time to post.
Hey Smitty!
Buried alive at work, but I continue to view this thread DAILY. Been with you since the beginning. I keep it simple and play your earliest version, best moneyline AL or NL for the time slot. If there is a tie, not much of a tie breaker, but I play the first listed. With a modest bankroll, I only play for one win, chasing with each play, beginning .75%, 1.5%, 3%, and 4.5% if necessary.
Thanks for your efforts, and please continue to post for the "silent majority", who still lurk in your thread without the time to post.
I posted on sbr last night how the system will handle identical lines in same time slot. Must have forgot to do it here.
Play both for 1/2 unit taking into consideration where were at in the chase. That way you will either lose a unit (0-2), win one (2-0, or push (1-1).
0
Posted:
#1491
I'm still here 
Yup, I got over myself after the last loss and nutted up this week. I was taking this shit too serious. Its not like this is my primary income.
While I still wanna never lose, i am taking a f-it attitude with my approach. Seems like i make less mistakes/bad decisions that way. Its bad to bet when you are pissed or tense about the outcome...
AND now we have Kreatture?! Welcome to Flunkytown K!
0
Posted:
#1492
FINAL RECAP
+2.35 units today. +13.90 units since last chase loss on July 27.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Wednesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 44-3 (54.05 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 27-2 (34.30 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 97-87 (52%) since June 19.
12:30_cin/pit__y_+115_44-3, +1.15 units
DOUBLE TAP
15:00_sfo/col__y_+110_
15:30_kcr/oak_y_+120_27-2, +1.20 units
19:00_min/tbr_y_+110_
20:00_hou/stl_y_+130_
21:40_was/arz_n_+100_moved to -110 so no play
22:00_tex/sea_y_+130_
22:00_sdp/lad_y_+130_
Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_y_+115_W
mil/chc_y_-110_L
sfo/col_y_+110_L
nym/atl_y_+105_W
hou/stl_y_+130_W
was/arz_n_+100_L
sdp/lad_y_+130_L
AL
tor/nyy_n_-105_L
kcr/oak_y_+120_W
min/tbr_y_+110_L
tex/sea_y_+130_W
Version 2.0 Favorites
12:30_cin/pit__n_-145_Loss
15:00_sfo/col__n_-120_W
15:30_kcr/oak_n_-150_L
19:00_min/tbr_n_-140_W
20:00_hou/stl_n_-160_L
21:40_was/arz_y_-130_W
22:00_tex/sea_n_-160_L
22:00_sdp/lad_n_-160_L
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_n_-145_Loss
mil/chc_n_-120_W
sfo/col_n_-140_W
nym/atl_n_-135_L
hou/stl_n_-160_L
was/arz_y_-130_W
sdp/lad_n_-160_W
AL
tor/nyy_y_-125_W
kcr/oak_n_-150_L
min/tbr_n_-140_W
tex/sea_n_-160_L
+2.35 units today. +13.90 units since last chase loss on July 27.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Wednesday, Aug 1, 2010
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 44-3 (54.05 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 27-2 (34.30 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 97-87 (52%) since June 19.
12:30_cin/pit__y_+115_
44-3, +1.15 unitsDOUBLE TAP
15:00_sfo/col__y_+110_
15:30_kcr/oak_y_+120_
27-2, +1.20 units19:00_min/tbr_y_+110_
20:00_hou/stl_y_+130_
21:40_was/arz_n_+100_moved to -110 so no play
22:00_tex/sea_y_+130_
22:00_sdp/lad_y_+130_
Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_y_+115_W
mil/chc_y_-110_L
sfo/col_y_+110_L
nym/atl_y_+105_W
hou/stl_y_+130_W
was/arz_n_+100_L
sdp/lad_y_+130_L
AL
tor/nyy_n_-105_L
kcr/oak_y_+120_W
min/tbr_y_+110_L
tex/sea_y_+130_W
Version 2.0 Favorites
12:30_cin/pit__n_-145_Loss
15:00_sfo/col__n_-120_W
15:30_kcr/oak_n_-150_L
19:00_min/tbr_n_-140_W
20:00_hou/stl_n_-160_L
21:40_was/arz_y_-130_W
22:00_tex/sea_n_-160_L
22:00_sdp/lad_n_-160_L
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
cin/pit_n_-145_Loss
mil/chc_n_-120_W
sfo/col_n_-140_W
nym/atl_n_-135_L
hou/stl_n_-160_L
was/arz_y_-130_W
sdp/lad_n_-160_W
AL
tor/nyy_y_-125_W
kcr/oak_n_-150_L
min/tbr_n_-140_W
tex/sea_n_-160_L
0
Posted:
#1494
At least Kreatur has a nice Rack. uhhhh... avatar.
Just an FYI to everyone. Last few days I have been busting my ass looking at 1st inning runs to see what our REAL chance of winning would be. So here are some BASICS of what I have gathered:
1. Texas has hit 60% in last month 1st inn runs.
2. KC, BAL, NYM, LAA, OAK & AZ give up a lot of 1st inn runs.
3. LAA cannot seem to score in the 1st. BOS, SD Barely better than LAA (have both hit 4X while LAA has 3X since all star game)
4. Since All Star game: AL has hit 57% of 1st inn runs NL has hit 48%. Put the AL & NL together and you have have 53.6321% of the games that have at least 1 run scored in it. (NOT Counting todays OR yesterdays games. Will get to em later tonight)
5. Good scoring teams since All star: Minn, NYY, AZ, SF, Mil, TB. And TEX. Tex By FAR THE BEST 1st inning run team this season. They literally blow the competition away. I willing you could tail them from day to day and win. I don't care who is pitching. They seem to get hot. Real Hot from time to time.
6. Cin and PIT was great at beg of year. Suck as of late. But I did win with them the other day LOL.
7. ATTENTION****
Worst day I have seen on a FULL schedule (15 games) was "3" games with runs. Best day I have seen was 11 games scored 1st inning runs and one game that day was PPD. So, in other words, this system SHOULD WIN CONSISTENTLY.
8. A normal full schedule day USUALLY HAS between 6 & 9 games that will score in the 1st. Usually! More 6/7 games.
9. I have yet to see any days that do no have a game with a run scored in the 1st. Even minimal game days. I'm not done taking data yet from this year though.
0
Posted:
#1495
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:
We are leaving money on the table by not chasing both ways. I can't think of anyway around it then to play game 1 yes and no knowing your gonna lose one of them. Then just chase the other way till you win.
Any thoughts?
I like the + money aspect of the original version because your actually making a little more than one unit and over time that adds up. The other way around you dont even make a unitWe are leaving money on the table by not chasing both ways. I can't think of anyway around it then to play game 1 yes and no knowing your gonna lose one of them. Then just chase the other way till you win.
Any thoughts?
0
Posted:
#1496
Just logged in to say I'm still with you guys. Been lurking since page 21. We just need to play the system based on what we feel is right. I added in law of average into your original system (version 1). Today I played No -150 Dodger and it hit. I do agree with Smithler about how we have to mix it up a bit but be careful laying the chalk b/c it is costly when you lose. I tend to play the plus money 85% of the time though. Keep it up guys, I check this post at least once a day, just too lazy to log on and post. 
0
Posted:
#1497
Thursday, Aug 5, 2010, 10 Games, V 1.0 only 2 plays today.
Version 1.0 Dogs
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 44-3 (54.05 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 27-2 (34.30 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 97-87 (52%) since June 19.
Times listed are EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
19:00_Game_1_sfo/atl__Y_+145_
22:00_Game_2_tex/sea_Y_+155_
Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_sfo/atl__y_+145_
21:30_was/arz_n_-105_
22:00_sdp/lad__y_+135_
AL
12:00_min/tbr__y_-105_
13:00_chw/det_y_-105_
19:00_laa/bal__y_-110_
19:00_cle/bos__y_-110_
22:00_tex/sea__y_+155_
Version 2.0 Favorites
19:00_Game_1_sfo/atl__N_-175_
22:00_Game_2_tex/sea_N_-185_
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_sfo/atl__n_-175_
21:30_was/arz_y_-125_
22:00_sdp/lad_n_+165_
AL
12:00_min/tbr__n_-125_
13:00_chw/det_n_-125_
19:00_laa/bal__n_-120_
19:00_cle/bos__n_-120_
22:00_tex/sea__n_-185_
Version 1.0 Dogs
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ chase record: 44-3 (54.05 units won) (25 units lost)
Double-tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 27-2 (34.30 units won) (22 units lost)
Straight record: 97-87 (52%) since June 19.
Times listed are EDT, Betus lines, subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
19:00_Game_1_sfo/atl__Y_+145_
22:00_Game_2_tex/sea_Y_+155_
Version 1.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_sfo/atl__y_+145_
21:30_was/arz_n_-105_
22:00_sdp/lad__y_+135_
AL
12:00_min/tbr__y_-105_
13:00_chw/det_y_-105_
19:00_laa/bal__y_-110_
19:00_cle/bos__y_-110_
22:00_tex/sea__y_+155_
Version 2.0 Favorites
19:00_Game_1_sfo/atl__N_-175_
22:00_Game_2_tex/sea_N_-185_
Version 2.1 AL and NL separate playing every time slot
NL
19:00_sfo/atl__n_-175_
21:30_was/arz_y_-125_
22:00_sdp/lad_n_+165_
AL
12:00_min/tbr__n_-125_
13:00_chw/det_n_-125_
19:00_laa/bal__n_-120_
19:00_cle/bos__n_-120_
22:00_tex/sea__n_-185_
0
Posted:
#1500
My book doesn't have the odds listed yet but it'll be a Yes for the Angels/Orioles for me. I'm also thinking of playing No for the Rockies/Pirates game but it's on the same time as the Angels game so I'm probably going to ride the angels game since the odds on that game will most likely be lower.
0
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