Why isn’t handicapping at +70% possible? Who said is was not possible anyway?...

I challenge you to exceed your preconceived potential in sports handicapping, and I would like to help you do so—if you allow me to.  I contend that most everyone involved in sports handicapping know others that handicap and bet sports; therein lays the problem.  If you are like the rest of us on the planet, you begin to unknowingly adopt the belief systems of the ‘crowd’ you congregate with.  If you are going to accomplish greatness in sports handicapping, you are going to have to ‘go it alone’ and defy the opinions and people that want nothing more than to keep you down with them.  I ask that tolerate me through the first paragraph of this; the purpose of this is to solidify my points to be made as you read just a little bit further.  The purpose of the initial paragraph is to validate my voice to you before we venture on.

              People will tell you that above 58% long term handicapping is not possible; I can promise you from personal experience that it is not only possible, it is being done as you read this.  I was told by posters here on Covers that there was no way I could do it; yet I have been doing it for years, but I felt implored to prove it to the ‘haters’.  I was already documenting my plays so as to make them easily verifiable, but upon a suggestion, I started posting every one of my plays in one single thread—ending any possible challenge of my actual results.  Believe it or not, this is not about me boasting, but rather about you no longer listening to the people who want nothing more than to stop you from reaching above what they themselves feel they can achieve.  This is about getting you to eliminate the crippling emotional thinking, and approaching handicapping from a logical, and rational mindset.  As stated, this is not about my boasting, but showing you verifiable results will solidify my case that you are listening to the wrong voices if you believe the whole “the very best cap at 58%”.  My verifiable results are:  All Posted Plays:

50-29 (63.3%).

Last 27: 20-7 (74.1%).

Last 10: 7-3 (70%)

HERE IS MY POSTING LINK:https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101200976&page=1

              Yes, I know… the haters will now say “just wait, you will go on a cooler” and come down to earth.  I have been defying what people have told me I can, and cannot do my whole life—I will continue to do so, and help others see through the motivation of negative and insecure people. 

              Running a six minute mile was once thought to be impossible, then the five minute mile was the mark that the nay-sayers swore could not be achieved.  On May 6^th 1954, Roger Banister broke the world’s first recorded four minute mile—just a year after almost giving up running entirely.  Banister tells of how the entire running world tried to tell him he was wasting his time attempting such a fool hardy endeavor.  Even his closest friends tried repeatedly to convince him that it was just not possible.

When someone tells you that the ‘best of the best’ can only handicap sports at 58%, the first question you need to ask is why can’t you supersede their performance?  Who says that they cannot be beaten?  All you need is a logical plan, discipline, accurate results tracking, analysis of your results, and the willingness to realistically self-examine your methods, and consistently adjust your methods as the need arises.

              The reason you can go on ‘heaters’ and ‘coolers’ is not the games; the reason is because of you, and the way you are thinking during these ups and downs.  The games stay the same—sometimes the expected happens, and sometimes the unexpected happens, but it you post cap all of your plays to examine why certain things happened you will realize many of the unexpected occurrences actually could have been predicted, at least as possibilities.  It is the lazy man’s excuse to say “he turned the ball over 4 times.  No one can predict that”.  The worst thing you can ever do in accomplishing a worthwhile goal is to put the blame on something outside of your control.  Go back and post cap that game the the QB turned the ball over 4 times until you find ONE way you could have seen the potential of what happened on the field. 

              Start to accept that you are not always ‘on your game’.  No one I have ever seen known of, heard about, or existed is/was always in the ‘zone’ at whatever they do all the time.  If you can find a way to duplicate the mindset you were in when you were in the ‘zone’, you can be in the ‘zone’ each time you feel/think that way.  It is absolutely necessary to self-actualize the state of mind/spirit you are in at any given time.  Find something that puts you into the proper state of mind you need to be in to perform at your best as you handicap your games.  Music works for some to change their state of mind/spirit.  Mediation works for me—and sometimes music works for me as well.  Find what it is that makes you feel good; make sure you do feel good before deciding on what your card will be for today, or any day.  Don’t worry if you struggle with this endeavor, but don’t handicap any games until you have the right mindset and you will eliminate many of the games that were going to be part of the 42% the nay-sayers claim the ‘best’ have.  Spend your time reading articles about the teams you follow instead of handicapping.  Just make it a information gathering session.  Do this enough and you will start to see games the next day—or day after—clearly, and effortlessly see an edge that you otherwise would have missed.

              Don’t bet games unless you have a clear vision of the entire games scoring evolution in mind.  Very few sport’s handicappers I have seen actually have a guess in mind of a final score of games that they bet on.  Most Sports bettors will say something like “oh, that game will definitely go over 42”, but if you ask them what the final score will be they will hesitate (obviously contemplating this for the first time).  Then ask them what the halftime score will be (ect).  Forcing yourself to run the game simulation in your mind after you pounded the stats, looked at the pertinent trends, viewed the match up histories, researched the recent team news, and verified probable starters will aid you in solidifying a solid edge, or even change your mind about an edge too small to wager.  Pounding massive information about upcoming games you are planning to wager will make mental game simulations easy for you; cut the information short and the simulations will seem problematic (letting you know that you are not prepared to wager that game).  Once you can run these mental scoring simulations you are ready to make an educated deduction of which side/total has the biggest edge.

An un-played losing ticket has more monetary value than a played winning ticket.  Think about it; if you play a game for $100 that wins, you win $90 (on a -110 line), but if you talk yourself out of not playing a game that ended up losing you saved $110—a net swing in your pocket of $10.  Now start to ask yourself how you can begin eliminating losing plays.  Have you ever been on a ‘cooler’ and as the day goes on you start pressing your unit play until the last game of the day.  That last game is the one that if you bet it big enough you could wipe away the day’s losses and walk with a profit.  Isn’t it funny how those last chases of the day tend to lose at mind numbingly high percentages.  Hmmm…. How is that?  I would venture to say that most reading this right now would agree that those last game chases lose at 80+%, right?  Well isn’t that an unrealistically high percentage of accuracy according to the nay-sayers?  Whether it is losers or winners, picking over 58% is not feasible right?   You have to start keeping a log to begin to pinpoint the games, days, weeks that you cap well, cap badly, and start to find ways to duplicate the winning methods, and eliminating your tendencies, or plays, or ways of losing methods.

              What I am saying here is that this is such a simple endeavor, but you have to follow a few general guidelines, and then start to develop custom guidelines to accomplish your handicapping goals.  If you believe the people that tell you the 59+% is not possible, then they are telling you correctly.   Believe what you will, but if you constantly work to lessen your losing plays, increase your winning plays you will continue to improve your percentages until you stop this process.  If you are about to cap your card, but you just don’t feel like you are in the ‘zone’…STOP CAPPING and get your mind right, or do something else—at the very least you did not waste the time, and you saved money more often than not.  Don’t ‘wing it’ any longer—don’t play games you simply have a general gut feeling on, but bet games that you worked hard on, know inside and out, and then your gut is going to be right a heluva lot more that it is wrong (your conscience mind can only readily retrieve a limited amount of information, but it actually stores every single thing you ever knew, learned, said, and heard.  Once you pound a game inside and out your gut is then your sub-conscience screaming to you to play/don’t play this and that game).  And Stop externalizing and accepting that a play was not your fault, it was the ref, the weather, the this, or the that.   If you lost, something is there that might have warned you to the possibility.  Even if it was something that no one short of God could have foreseen, it hurts your future by pointing the blame elsewhere—find a way to take responsibility for the loss.

 

              Do these things and I promise you that you will win more plays, lose less plays, know your games in more detail, and have more of a bankroll.  I can point out the nay sayers very easily—they will be the one who never post anything like this trying to help anyone, but will attempt to discredit my work for no logical reasoning.  I am impervious to the haters, and writing this was 100% worth it if it helps one person.

 

Everyone wants to go 5-0... My goal is to go 3-2 ATS everyday..

I play mostly Dogs.

My strategy is:

Play the favorite in the 1st half.

Play on Dog fullgame.

Play on Over 1st half.

Play on Under fullgame.

I totally agree on what you are saying...like how you think.

From zero to hero each week for me..

thanks for them tips.  I take it all for the win. 

so how much do you wish for your paid service

make it above 60% on 1000 plays, not 79 and then come back

Sorry I didn't use an alias to post this like most would but BOL...

lol... everything has to be an angle huh?  I love the Art of Book play, I enjoy writing, and I get better as I teach what I know.... your mind cannot even comprehend that can it?  I feel bad for you my friend, it cannot be very satisfying for you....peace 

fair enough, but tell the whole story.. I committed to a clearly stated 4 day 'make +41% or Bust' challenge.... went into the last 2 games up only 16 units @ 62% and clearly stated that I had to chase because it was Succeed or fail for that challenge

I am a really positive guy, and always have been.  I rarely need anything to 'feel good about'... but when I, or anyone else who tries to share knowledge/experience asking nothing in return, and it is met with conflict, disdain, and hate... it really, really makes me appreciate who I am and was raised to be.  If it makes your inner torment subside for a minute while you throw stones at me...have at it.... I wish you nothing but the best

Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:

fair enough, but tell the whole story.. I committed to a clearly stated 4 day 'make +41% or Bust' challenge.... went into the last 2 games up only 16 units @ 62% and clearly stated that I had to chase because it was Succeed or fail for that challenge

I'm not in to story telling. I leave that up to you...

You will not stay at a 65-70% winning percentage, it just cant be done long term.  Guess you havent been betting very long if you think you can.  I used to think the same thing

Thanks, man...maybe you should consider a self -help book for gamblers. You make some really good points.

RT2

Thanks for posting and hope you continue to do so . Like I said in an earlier post you are the real deal . Keep ignoring the haters .

Your doing very well, please keep it up. I like posters who give a rational to their plays as you do....dont waste your time listening to naysayers, theirs some games tonight to cap.

Been doing good KS....what is your lean tonite?

KScapping, longtime "viewer" here as you can see I don't post much mainly because I don't feel the need to.  I like to come into threads and get "good" information and take it for what it's worth. I applaud your insight and effort so far and want to wish you the best on your endeavour of reaching over 58%!!!!! The best motivator is for someone to tell you "you can't" do something.  Your angle on capping games is dead on and like the way you think, couldn't have said it better myself, LOL.....

ks...  look i have been on this wonderful site for several yrs now.. all i know is i dont write alot but in your case i will. as i read the forum everyday i find it quite interesting how people want to drag people down. IMO... i think you can hit for that 60ish percentage... i dont post my plays but i do very well...  1 reason is because of the forum...  all i do is find the right people to fade... i usually check out the guys on here that do their homework and give us good information.... every1 knows who i am talkin about... keep up the good work and i do think u know whats going on..   good luck.