USA vs Germany Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sunday’s Men's Olympic Hockey Game

Cordell's prediction: Team USA ends group play on high note.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Feb 14, 2026 • 10:16 ET • 4 min read
Brady Tkachuk United States Olympic hockey
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Brady Tkachuk of United States celebrates a goal.

The United States are sizable favorites over Germany as they conclude group stage play. My USA vs. Germany predictions expect the red, white, and blue to showcase why with a one-sided victory.
 
Let’s break down my free betting picks for Sunday, February 14.

USA vs Germany prediction

USA vs Germany Best bet: USA -3.5 (+130 at Fanatics)

Germany’s play through two games is concerning. They allowed 34 slot shot attempts to Denmark in a low-scoring win, then followed that up with a 4-3 loss to a Latvian team with zero impact players.

The goaltending outlook is also cause for concern. Germany started Philipp Grubauer on Saturday and are in a situation where they either play a potentially fatigued netminder or a less capable backup.

Either way, it’s good news for a stacked American squad that has the firepower and depth to run Germany out of the rink.

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USA vs Germany same-game parlay

USA -3.5

Under 6.5

Germany is a very top-heavy team. Their big guns were able to come through against lesser competition, but there are no weak spots to exploit on Team USA. They’ll also be tasked with beating Connor Hellebuyck on the few chances they do get.

The big talent gap should lead to a ton of puck possession and offensive zone time for USA, giving them a strong chance of winning by margin while keeping this total Under the number.

USA vs Germany SGP

  • USA -3.5
  • Under 6.5

USA vs Germany odds

  • Moneyline: USA -800 | Germany +550
  • Puck Line: USA -3.5 | Germany +3.5
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

How to watch USA vs Germany

Location Santa Giulia Ice Hockey Arena, Milan, Italy
Date Sunday, February 15, 2026
Puck drop 3:10 p.m. ET
TV NBC

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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