Wild vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

With the Wild nursing injuries, the Maple Leafs will run up the score thanks to offensive efforts from Auston Matthews and Max Domi.

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Jan 19, 2026 • 08:31 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 9 hrs
TOR
48 %
MIN
52 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Toronto o3.5  (+130) Toronto o3.5 (+130)
Read Analysis
Auston Matthews Toronto Maple Leafs NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Maple Leafs F Auston Matthews (34) skates with possession.

The injury bug has hit the Minnesota Wild ahead of tonight's clash with the Toronto Maple Leafs.

My Wild vs. Maple Leafs predictions expect Toronto to take full advantage of their shorthanded visitors, filling the net with goals. 

Find out why with my free NHL picks on Monday, January 19.

Wild vs Maple Leafs prediction

Wild vs Maple Leafs best bet: Maple Leafs team total Over 3.5 (+130)

The Toronto Maple Leafs return home after a 2-1-1 Western road trip to face the Minnesota Wild, who have one win in their last four games.

Minnesota has allowed an average of 4.68 goals per game over this stretch, with a dismal .827 team save percentage. 

The Leafs, on the other hand, have been red hot offensively, averaging 3.82 goals per game since the Christmas break. 

The Leafs are getting plus money to go Over 3.5 goals tonight, a number they've cleared in eight of their last 10 games, while the Wild have allowed four or more in six of seven. 

Additionally, the Leafs are a far more potent offense with the home-ice advantage, averaging 3.69 goals at Scotiabank. 

Also, the Leafs' PP is finding a groove, operating at 30%, while Minny ranks 27th on the PK and has allowed three goals on the man-advantage over their last two outings. 

So whether it’s at 5-on-5 or the power play. Toronto’s offense is trending up and should be able to score four or more against a depleted Wild squad.

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Wild vs Maple Leafs same-game parlay

Auston Matthews is shooting a lot more since the turn of the calendar. The Leafs’ trigger man is averaging 3.66 shots per game with a 27.3 shooting percentage. The Wild are allowing 28.3 shots on average since New Year's Eve.

In addition to his power play time, Max Domi plays on the top line with a red-hot Matthews, where he’s recorded eight points in his last 12 games.

Wild vs Maple Leafs SGP

  • Maple Leafs team total Over 3.5
  • Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots on goal
  • Max Domi Over 0.5 points

Wild vs Maple Leafs odds

  • Moneyline: Wild +100 | Maple Leafs -120
  • Puck Line: Wild +1.5 (-245) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+115) | Under 6.5 (-135)

Wild vs Maple Leafs trend

The Leafs are 7-3 on the moneyline in the last 10 meetings between these two clubs. Find more NHL betting trends for Wild vs. Maple Leafs.

How to watch Wild vs Maple Leafs

Location Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date Monday, January 19, 2026
Puck drop 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Wild vs Maple Leafs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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