The Minnesota Wild kick off a three-game road trip as they travel to the desert to take on the Arizona Coyotes. The visitors are riding a three-game winning streak, while Arizona opened the season up with 11 straight losses before a much-needed win over Seattle on Saturday.
Karel Vejmelka is confirmed to start in net for the Coyotes, while the Wild could go with No. 1 Cam Talbot and use back-up Kaako Kahkonen tomorrow in Vegas. Arizona is +180 on the ML with a total set at 5.5. Minnesota is paying +125 on the puck line.
Here are our free picks and predictions for Wild vs. Coyotes for Wednesday, November 10.
Wild vs Coyotes odds
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Wild vs Coyotes picks
Picks made on 11/10/2021 at 9:05 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Wild vs Coyotes game info
• Location: Gila River Arena, Glendale, AZ
• Date: Wednesday, November 10, 2021
• Puck drop: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TNT
Wild vs Coyotes betting preview
Injuries
Wild: Jordan Greenway F (Out).
Coyotes: Alex Galchenyuk F (Out), Nick Smaltz F (Out).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.
Wild vs Coyotes head-to-head record (2021)
Wild: 7-1 SU, 32 goals for.
Coyotes: 1-7 SU, 16 goals for.
Betting trend to know
The favorite is 6-0 in the last six meetings. Find more NHL betting trends for Wild vs. Coyotes.
Wild vs Coyotes picks and predictions
Wild -1.5 (+125)
The Arizona Coyotes are the worst team in the league and it isn’t even close. They lost their first 11 games of the season, picking up just one point in the process, and have been outscored 48 to 19 through 12 games. They are last in goals per game (1.58), last in shots per game (25.3), and last in goals against per game (4.00). Arizona isn’t just bad, it's historically bad. Expected metrics back up these numbers so it isn’t just an outlier — Arizona stinks.
Arizona is coming off its first win — a 5-4 victory over the Kraken — but with just 22 shots on net, the Yotes finished with just 1.9 expected goals. They’ve been beaten by two or more goals in nine of their 11 losses.
The Wild began the season winning eight of their 11 games and come into this Wednesday matchup having last played on Sunday. Minnesota also has to hit the road right after tonight’s match and head to Vegas for a Thursday game. We’re just speculating here, but we wouldn’t be surprised if the Wild were able to spend a night in Vegas with a pair of wins today and tomorrow. A loss tonight would definitely increase the team’s chances of flying out of Vegas after Thursday night's game. The boys might want to be at their best tonight for some possible R and R Thursday night.
Minnesota is a bad matchup for the Coyotes as well as the Wild lead the league in shots per game, are seventh in goals per game and sit in the top-three in xgoal %, and both Fenwick and Corsi %. The Wild are a great possession team, while the Coyotes struggle to play with the puck. Minnesota also leads the league in xgoal differential/60 at even strength. In short, this Minnesota offense could dominate 5-on-5 possession tonight and could get its stale power play going against Arizona’s No. 30 penalty kill.
The Wild are paying +125 on the PL which is a great price considering the -1.5 has cashed in nine of Arizona’s 12 games this season. Minnesota has played plenty of tight contests this season already, but the Wild are familiar with the Yotes, won seven of the eight meetings last season, and covered the -1.5 in all seven of those victories.
Under 5.5 (-104)
The Coyotes are tough to back for an Over, as they sport the league’s worst offense. They’re 5-7 O/U on the year and 1-4 O/U in their last five. The Yotes are so bad offensively, they've scored one or fewer goals in eight of their 12 games this season.
Defensively, they sit in the Top 10 in expected goals against/60 and have had some surprisingly great goaltending from Karel Vejmelka who is 0-4 SU in his last five starts but has a 0.926 save percentage. The 25-year-old netminder has just seen a huge volume of rubber his way and hasn’t had a chance to pick up any wins.
The Wild should be able to hold the Coyotes offense in check, and rank second in the league in xgoals against/60 at 1.95. Projected starter, Cam Talbot, hasn't been his sharpest of late, but a date with the league’s worst offense should fix that.
Neither power play has excelled this season, with Arizona ranking 30th in the league, at 1 for 18 on the PP in over its last nine games. Minnesota had a bottom-10 PP last season and those struggles have carried over to the 2021-22 season. They are 2 for 23 with the man advantage over their last eight games.
We don’t expect two-way scoring Wednesday night, which decreases the chances of the ever-important empty-net goals.
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