Toronto Maple Leafs captain Auston Matthews is mired in a nine-game goal drought, and seems determined to snap the skid by throwing as many pucks on net as he can.
My Maple Leafs vs. Rangers predictions and NHL picks for Thursday, March 5 will take the Over on Matthews' shot prop.
Maple Leafs vs Rangers prediction
Maple Leafs vs Rangers best bet: Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots on goal (-120)
Auston Matthews is itching to snap his goalless streak, which now sits at a staggering nine straight games, the longest drought since his rookie season.
In an attempt to break the skid, Matthews has been firing everything on net, which makes Over 3.5 shots on goal a very attractive bet for me.
Matthews has gone Over this line in back-to-back games, registering 14 shots across his last two outings.
The Toronto Maple Leafs star is averaging 3.76 shots per game throughout his career against the New York Rangers. I’m expecting another high-volume shooting night from the captain.
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Maple Leafs vs Rangers same-game parlay
Morgan Rielly is averaging two shots per game and has gone Over this number in four of his last five outings.
Joseph Woll should be busy again as the Leafs allow more shots (32.06 per game) than any other team in the NHL. Toronto has given up 29 or more shots to New York in seven straight meetings.
Maple Leafs vs Rangers SGP
- Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots on goal
- Morgan Rielly Over 1.5 shots on goal
- Joseph Woll Over 25.5 saves
Maple Leafs vs Rangers odds
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs +112 | Rangers -134
- Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 | Rangers -1.5
- Over/Under: Over 6 | Under 6
Maple Leafs vs Rangers trend
The Maple Leafs are 7-3 SU in their last 10 meetings with the Rangers. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Rangers.
How to watch Maple Leafs vs Rangers
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| Date | Thursday, March 5, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN4 |
Maple Leafs vs Rangers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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