Brandon Hagel has had more thrown on his plate this season due to Brayden Point's absence and has taken full advantage of it, producing 18 points and 52 shots over 15 games.
My Bruins vs. Lightning predictions see Hagel rising to the occasion once again in a Stadium Series matchup between two Atlantic Division foes.
Let’s take a closer look at my NHL picks for Sunday, February 1.
Bruins vs Lightning prediction
Bruins vs Lightning best bet: Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 shots (-140)
Brandon Hagel has averaged 3.5 shots on 7.7 attempts through 15 games without Point, clearing 2.5 shots in 11 of them.
Those numbers are all well clear of what Hagel managed with Point healthy (2.7 shots, 6.1 attempts).
Hagel has a nice matchup to build on his outputs further. The Boston Bruins rank 20th in shot suppression and 22nd in shot share at 5-on-5, so Hagel’s line — which also features Nikita Kucherov — should be able to tilt the ice and spend a lot of time in the offensive zone.
It’s a great power play spot as well. The Bruins have given up shots at the third-highest rate while killing penalties over the last 10 games. Not to mention, Boston ranks 28th in shot suppression vs. wingers during that same period of time.
Hagel recorded six attempts the last time these two sides played, and that was with Point in the lineup. For reference, Hagel has three or more shots on goal in 81% of his games this season when generating six or more attempts.
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Bruins vs Lightning same-game parlay
Hagel leads the Tampa Bay Lightning in expected goals and scoring chances since Point went down. He's piling up the looks around the net, and that should continue against the Bruins — especially on the man advantage.
Kucherov leads the team in helpers by a country mile and is setting up Hagel for a lot of his chances each night.
While Victor Hedman is expected to return today, Darren Raddysh produced 27 points over 22 games without him and figures to still play a large role offensively. Raddysh produced multiple assists in three of his last four following two days of rest.
Bruins vs Lightning SGP
- Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 shots
- Brandon Hagel anytime goalscorer
- Nikita Kucherov Over 0.5 assists
- Darren Raddysh Over 0.5 assists
Bruins vs Lightning odds
- Moneyline: Bruins +170 | Lightning -205
- Puck Line: Bruins +1.5 (-140) | Lightning -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+110) | Under 6.5 (-130)
Bruins vs Lightning trend
Brandon Hagel has registered at least three shots in five of his last six against Boston. Find more NHL betting trends for Bruins vs. Lightning.
How to watch Bruins vs Lightning
| Location | Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL |
| Date | Sunday, February 1, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Bruins vs Lightning latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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