The NFL heads to London for the first time this season as the Minnesota Vikings and Cleveland Browns look to bounce back from losses last week.
Rookie running back Quinshon Judkins has been one of the few bright spots for Cleveland’s offense and he highlights my Vikings vs. Browns predictions and NFL prop picks for Week 5.
Vikings vs Browns props
Player | Pick | |
---|---|---|
Over 75.5 rushing yards | -114 | |
Score a touchdown | +175 | |
Under 195.5 passing yards | -114 |
Prop bet #1: Quinshon Judkins Over 75.5 rushing yards
The Cleveland Browns are off to a 1-3 start with just three passing TDs so far this season and have decided to turn to rookie quarterback Dillon Gabriel for his first career start in Week 5.
It’ll be a tough assignment for the former Oregon Duck, who faces a Minnesota Vikings defense that’s surrendered just 685 passing yards so far – the third-fewest in the NFL.
Fortunately for Gabriel, he’ll have some help in fellow rookie Quinshon Judkins, who’s emerged as a budding star for the Browns.
The rookie running back is averaging over 16 carries and 79 rushing yards per game with 237 total yards this season – nearly 200 more than anyone else on the team.
If the passing game goes awry for Gabriel – which it very well could – he’ll likely lean heavily on Judkins.
Prop bet #2: Justin Jefferson to score a touchdown
Justin Jefferson has been a workhorse for the Vikings, leading the team in receiving yards (326), receptions (22), and targets (31) this season. The wideout shone in Minnesota’s Week 4 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers after snagging a game-high 10 receptions and 126 yards.
Jefferson has scored just one touchdown this season, coming in the Vikings’ season-opening win, but I think he’ll return to the end zone in London.
The Browns own the NFL’s stingiest rush defense this year but the same can’t be said for their secondary. Cleveland has allowed eight passing TDs, tied for the fifth-most in the NFL, and has surrendered at least one in every game this season.
Prop bet #3: Carson Wentz Under 195.5 passing yards
The Vikings have already used three different quarterbacks this season with starter J.J. McCarthy set to miss his third straight game with a high ankle sprain. That sets up Carson Wentz to make his third consecutive start.
Wentz threw for 360 yards with two touchdowns against the Steelers in Week 4 but also threw two interceptions and was sacked six times.
Things won’t get much easier for the Vikings QB in Week 5 as he’ll be behind a battered O-line that’s missing some key pieces including starting center Ryan Kelly and backup center Michael Jurgens.
While the Browns have given up plenty of passing TDs, they haven’t allowed a ton of yards or receptions in general. Cleveland ranks third in receptions allowed (67) and fourth in receiving yards against (689).
Lamar Jackson threw 225 yards against Cleveland in Week 2 and is the only quarterback to hit Over 195.5 vs. the Browns this season. I don’t see Wentz hitting that total in what’s projected to be a low-scoring game.
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