The Steelers were the last team to get into the NFL playoffs, and the Houston Texans will try to see that Pittsburgh is the last team eliminated on Wild Card Weekend at Acrisure Stadium this Monday night.
Before making your Texans vs. Steelers predictions and NFL picks, be sure to consult the latest odds at prediction markets like Kalshi!
Texans vs Steelers predictions
| Result | |
|---|---|
| Steelers to win | Trade at Kalshi |
| Texans -2.5 — NO | Trade at Kalshi |
| Over 39.5 — YES | Trade at Kalshi |
| Dalton Schultz to score a TD | Trade at Kalshi |
| Kenneth Gainwell to score a TD | Trade at Kalshi |
Who will win Texans vs Steelers at prediction markets?
Our prediction: Steelers to win
Josh Inglis believes Pittsburgh is a live underdog in what should be a close, low-scoring game.
"I love Houston at home, but I worry about [CJ] Stroud on the road in the cold. The Steelers are live in a game where one mistake could be the difference."
See more of Josh's analysis in his Texans vs. Steelers predictions.
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Texans vs Steelers props at prediction markets
Beyond the winner of the game, there are several other markets available for Texans vs. Steelers at Kalshi, including the spread, total, and team total for the game, plus player touchdown props and quarterback passing markets.
Explain how you can buy either side of a market — for example, "Yes" on Texans -2.5 means the Texans will cover, while "No" on Texans -2.5 means the Steelers will cover — with each side priced based on the implied probability (which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fraction odds using the Covers odds converter)
Texans vs Steelers spread and total at prediction markets
| Outcome | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Texans -2.5 | 55¢ (-122) | 46¢ (-117) |
| Over 39.5 | 46¢ (-117) | 55¢ (-122) |
Our predictions: Texans -2.5 (NO) and Over 39.5
In addition to fading Houston, Inglis is also leaning Over.
"Houston has been dictating totals as the Texans have seen four sub-40 totals in their last 10 (3-1 O/U). With the Steelers' play volume increasing and their defense's ability to blow coverage, I like the Over"
Don't miss the alternate lines listed for both the spread and total at Kalshi!
Texans vs Steelers touchdown props at prediction markets
| Player | Anytime TD | First TD |
|---|---|---|
 Nico Collins |
40¢ (+150) | 14¢ (+614) |
| Woody Marks |
35¢ (+186) | 12¢ (+733) |
 Kenneth Gainwell |
32¢ (+213) | 10¢ (+900) |
| Dalton Schultz |
30¢ (+233) | 10¢ (+900) |
| Jaylen Warren |
29¢ (+245) | 9¢ (+1011) |
| Pat Freiermuth |
20¢ (+400) | 6¢ (+1567) |
| Houston D/ST |
20¢ (+400) | 4¢ (+2400) |
| Jayden Higgins |
20¢ (+400) | 6¢ (+1567) |
Our predictions: Dalton Schultz and Kenneth Gainwell
Jason Ence's Texans vs. Steelers anytime touchdown picks single out Kenneth Gainwell as great value to break the plane.
"Not only has Gainwell recently been Pittsburgh’s most consistent scorer, with touchdowns in three of his last five outings, but his 73 receptions lead the team. Houston has a strong run defense, and its 10 touchdowns allowed to wideouts are the fifth-fewest in the league. This leads the way for the RB to hit the end zone."
You can also wager on multi-TD scorers and first-TD scorers at Kalshi!
Other Texans vs Steelers props available at prediction markets
What is Kalshi and how does it work?
Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade "Event Contracts" which are simple Yes/No questions like "Will the Eagles win this Sunday?" These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a "vig," which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your "Yes" shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.
Why should I wager on Texans vs Steelers at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:
- Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
- Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
- Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
- Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.
