Before the start of the season, the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs looked like locks to make the AFC playoffs.
However, both teams are on the outside of the postseason picture as we enter Week 14, and can’t afford to stumble in the home stretch. One will win on Sunday Night Football, and my early Texans vs. Chiefs predictions like the visitors against the spread.
I size up the opening odds and early line moves as well as give my leans and NFL picks on Sunday, December 7.
Texans vs Chiefs predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Early SNF spread pick: Houston Texans +3.5
The Kansas City Chiefs were 5.5-point home favorites before losing at Dallas on Thanksgiving.
This spread officially opened Chiefs -4.5, and it didn’t take long for Houston Texans money to shrink this line as far as a field goal at some shops. The books that have dropped KC -3 are padding that key number with the juice at -115.
Depending on which side you like, you can find +3.5 or -3 on Monday afternoon.
This Chiefs offense has run hot and cold and faces a top-tier stop unit in Week 14. Houston is among the best defenses in the land, according to many advanced metrics, and knows this Chiefs offense well.
The Texans checked Andy Reid’s attack to just 212 total yards in the Divisional Round last January but still lost 23-14 due to special teams struggles and a stout Kansas City defense.
Early SNF total pick: Under 41.5
This Over/Under opened at 43.5 last night, and Under money has shown up in the first 12 hours of action, knocking it down to 41.5.
As mentioned, we have two very savvy stop units going, and two offenses that have a lot to be desired.
Patrick Mahomes and this Chiefs attack have lacked explosive plays and left points on the table with poor performances in the red zone.
Kansas City has pushed around weaker defensive foes but gets thumped by the league’s elite. The Chiefs' offensive line is also in rough shape and faces an aggressive Texans pass rush.
As for Houston, quarterback C.J. Stroud just returned from a concussion and wasn’t flashy in the win over Indianapolis. He heads to a chilly Arrowhead Stadium, where game-time temperatures are expected to be around 20 degrees on Sunday night. Stroud’s production sees a significant downtick when playing in outdoor venues.
Welcome Missouri! Sign up now and claim up to $4,615 in bonuses!
Regulated sports betting is now live in the Show Me State! Join the action now, with more than $4,600 in available welcome offers from sportsbooks now available in Missouri!
🔍 Learn more about Missouri sports betting
💰 Find the best Missouri sportsbook promos
📱 Find the best Missouri sports betting apps
🗳️ Win a $1,000 bankroll in our FREE Missouri launch contest
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Texans vs Chiefs odds
- Texans vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -3.5
- Texans vs. Chiefs moneyline: Texans +150, Chiefs -178
- Texans vs. Chiefs Over/Under: 41.5
How to watch Texans vs Chiefs
- Texans vs. Chiefs matchup
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025, 8:20 p.m. ET
- City: Kansas City, MO
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- TV: NBC
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
