The Detroit Lions face off against the Green Bay Packers in Week 1 on Sunday.
Detroit had the highest-scoring offense in the NFL last year, and running back Jahmyr Gibbs broke out with an All-Pro campaign.
My Lions vs. Packers predictions expect Gibbs to have a big game and lead Detroit to a win as a short road underdog.
Read more in my NFL picks for September 7.
Our best Lions vs Packers SGP for Week 1
Jahmyr Gibbs had a breakout season last year, rushing for 1,412 yards while adding another 517 yards on 52 receptions.
Gibbs has hauled in at least four catches with 30+ receiving yards in each of his last six games. The Detroit Lions running back could see an even larger role in the passing game this season under new offensive coordinator John Morton, who has been splitting him out wide throughout training camp.
Meanwhile, the Green Bay Packers ranked 30th in the league in receptions (91) and receiving yards (686) allowed to opposing running backs last year.
The Packers pulled off a blockbuster trade for Micah Parsons last week, but an improved pass rush means that Detroit will rely even more on quick passes to Gibbs.
Detroit is being undervalued due to the offseason departures of its offensive and defensive coordinators. That said, the Lions return most of their personnel from a squad that went 15-2 with an NFL-best average scoring margin of +13.1 ppg.
They've also beaten the Packers in six of the last seven meetings, and I like them to pull off the small upset on Sunday.
Gibbs scored 22 touchdowns in 18 regular-season and playoff games last year. Since we're already backing him to have a big game through the air and betting on the Lions to win, it makes sense to add his anytime TD prop to this SGP.
Lions vs. Packers 4-leg SGP
- Jahmyr Gibbs o22.5 receiving yards (-122)
- Jahmyr Gibbs o2.5 receptions (-166)
- Jahmyr Gibbs anytime touchdown (-115)
- Lions moneyline (+114)
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