Sunday Night Football heads to Lambeau Field as Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys take on the Green Bay Packers, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.
Our analysts have weighed in with their Cowboys vs. Packers expert picks, backing a big day through the air for Prescott, a touchdown for Tucker Kraft, the Over, and Green Bay on the moneyline.
For more of our best Cowboys vs. Packers predictions, check out our latest NFL picks for Sunday, Oct. 18.
Cowboys vs Packers expert picks
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| Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Dak Prescott 275+ passing yards |
52% |
 Josh Inglis: Tucker Kraft anytime TD |
33% |
 Joe Osborne: Over 52.5 |
53% |
 Jon Metler: Packers ML |
52% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Dak Prescott 275+ passing yards
New Green Bay defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon runs zone coverage almost exclusively, and Prescott is among the best QBs in the land at picking apart zones (No. 3 passer rating vs. zone), with two zone-busting WRs in CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens.
Those star wideouts could face a Packers secondary short on bodies, with DBs Keisean Nixon and Benjamin St-Juste questionable and SS Evan Williams dealing with an illness.
Prescott could also enjoy extra time in the pocket to allow deeper routes to develop, with Green Bay’s defensive line running thin. The Packers don’t blitz much and rank 29th in pass rush win rate at ESPN.
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Tucker Kraft anytime TD
Tucker Kraft's production is rising alongside Green Bay's offense. He has 11 catches on 12 targets over the last two weeks, with four red-zone targets and a touchdown. He's priced longer to score than Christian Watson and Matthew Golden, but his fair price should be closer to 2.7x than the 3x available.
The Cowboys are one of eight defenses allowing 2+ passing TDs per game and rank dead last in EPA/dropback. None of the big three pass-catching options in this offense should be priced longer than 2.8x.
Kraft also had a QB sneak last week that could translate to a goal-line opportunity if needed.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Over 52.5
Dallas has produced nine consecutive road Overs, averaging 58.1 combined points. Its offense has the firepower to go toe-to-toe with anyone, but the defense ranks dead last in yards per play allowed and opponent third-down conversion percentage.
Green Bay just dropped 31 points on Chicago, while its defense ranks 25th on third down and 31st in red-zone touchdown percentage allowed.
Expect Dallas to finish plenty of drives, but its defense will leave lots of openings for Green Bay to land some haymakers.
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Packers moneyline
I make Green Bay a 59% favorite, giving us a significant edge over the market.
If Dallas struggles to stop the run and is forced to adjust its defensive scheme, it could create favorable opportunities for Jordan Love to attack the secondary with Christian Watson and Matthew Golden on the outside.
Love is also a significant upgrade at quarterback over Jalon Daniels, who led Tampa Bay to a Week 5 victory in Dallas.
How to watch Cowboys vs Packers
| Location | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wis. |
| Date | Sunday, Oct. 18, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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