The Denver Broncos will be seeking a fifth straight win when they host the Dallas Cowboys during the late window on Sunday afternoon.
In a battle between one of the league’s most explosive offenses and a defense that has shut down opponents all year long, I’m expecting both sides to have their moments in my Cowboys vs. Broncos player props.
Read on to see my favorite NFL picks for October 26.
Cowboys vs Broncos props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Dak Prescott |
Over 251.5 passing yards | -114 |
| George Pickens |
Over 3.5 receptions | -158 |
 Nik Bonitto |
To record a sack | +106 |
Prop bet #1: Dak Prescott Over 251.5 passing yards
Despite some significant injuries to key offense weapons – namely CeeDee Lamb – Dak Prescott has been putting up huge numbers all season long.
The veteran quarterback has thrown 16 touchdown passes and is averaging 268.7 yards per game through the air.
Lamb was back in the lineup last week and was immediately productive, catching five passes for 110 yards.
If the star receiver is firing at full strength, it will be difficult for any defense – even for the Denver Broncos – to slow this offense down.
Lamb’s presence helped Prescott throw for 250+ yards for the fifth time in six games.
The only exception came in a game where Prescott didn’t have to throw much against the New York Jets; even then, he managed to toss four touchdown passes and pick up 237 yards, so he wasn’t far off this week’s total.
If Dallas were still without Lamb, I might worry about a Denver defense that is holding opponents to a 55.9% completion rate keeping Prescott’s numbers down, but with a full complement of receivers, I like him to hit the Over.
Prop bet #2: George Pickens Over 3.5 receptions
It’s tempting to add a pick on Lamb this week, considering how important he is to the Cowboys offense. But I’m looking elsewhere in the Cowboys receiving corps for value, and I’m finding it in George Pickens.
The former Georgia Bulldogs star showed up big for Dallas when Lamb went down. As a result, Pickens currently leads the Cowboys in receiving yards with 607, and tied for the team lead in touchdowns (6), and is second in receptions (36) behind tight end Jake Ferguson.
We can expect Pickens to see his targets drop somewhat with Lamb back in the lineup as WR1. We saw that last week against the Washington Commanders, when Pickens had only four receptions on six targets.
Still, that made five of six games in which Pickens caught at least four balls. And against the Broncos, who will bring pressure all day, Prescott is going to need to make quick reads and move the ball around.
I’m taking Pickens to hit the Over on his reception total, even if he’s no longer the primary deep option.
Prop bet #3: Nik Bonitto to record a sack
The Broncos have been hounding opposing quarterbacks like nobody else this year. Denver has totaled 34 sacks so far, while nobody else in the NFL has more than 26.
Seven different players have multiple sacks on the year for the Broncos, who are allowing just 273.1 yards per game while holding opposing quarterbacks to a 79.0 passer rating.
Leading that attack is 26-year-old linebacker Nik Bonitto. After recording 13.5 sacks in the 2024 season, Bonitto has eight already in in 2025, recording at least one sack in five of his first seven games.
Earlier this year, he became the first Broncos player since Von Miller to record multiple sacks in three straight games.
Prescott has been sacked only eight times this year, which may be why we can get a little better than even money on Bonitto picking up a sack in Sunday’s game.
But between Bonitto, Jonathon Cooper, and the rest of Denver’s defensive front, it’s hard to imagine the Broncos won’t get to Prescott at least a couple times in this one, and Bonitto is the best bet to do so.
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