The Pittsburgh Steelers sit atop the AFC North, and look to remain there as they host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday in an important showdown.
I’m focusing on Josh Allen and Kenneth Gainwell to hit paydirt with my free Bills vs. Steelers anytime touchdown picks for November 30.
For even more NFL picks, make sure to check out our full Bills vs. Steelers predictions!
Bills anytime touchdown pick
Josh Allen (+125 at FanDuel)
Josh Allen will be without multiple linemen and receivers on Sunday, and he is facing a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that will get after him quite a bit. It means the Buffalo Bills quarterback likely will be forced to use his legs even more than usual.
If the Bills get near the goal line, Allen is their biggest threat to score. The reigning MVP has racked up 16 carries inside the 10-yard line this season, posting a share of 47.1% from that distance, including 10 rushing scores from those carries.
Allen has only attempted 36 passes in the red zone this season compared to 55 rushing attempts, with just 12 of those throws coming inside the 10-yard line. Considering Pittsburgh’s solid red zone defense, this sets up perfectly for a score via either a scramble or a tush-push.
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Steelers anytime touchdown pick
Kenneth Gainwell (+240 at FanDuel)
While Jaylen Warren is the primary back for the Steelers, the last two weeks have seen a major uptick in usage for Kenneth Gainwell.
He’s been on the field for at least 27 snaps each of the last two games, catching 13 passes and carrying the ball 19 times.
Although Gainwell has just seven red zone targets this season, he has scored twice and presents an important check-down option for Aaron Rodgers against a strong Buffalo pass rush. He's also registered nine red zone carries in the last two weeks, compared to just three for Warren.
Buffalo’s run defense ranks 31st in yards allowed per carry. Gainwell’s increased workload gives us terrific value when compared to Warren’s price of +140 to score.
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