Thanksgiving brings a full slate of NFL touchdown props, and I’ve locked in my three favorite plays across the holiday lineup.
I’m backing the best wideout in Green Bay in a favorable matchup, a quarterback TD in Dallas where the matchup sets up perfectly for a red-zone scramble, and a Bengals secondary pass catcher stepping into expanded volume.
Here are my top TD props to add to your Thanksgiving NFL picks on November 27.
GB
KC 
CIN 
BALOdds courtesy of DraftKings
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Packers vs Lions
Christian Watson (+210 at DraftKings) A
Detroit’s defense can give up points, and even with the Packers getting healthier at receiver, Christian Watson at +180 or better is my favorite TD look in this game.
Green Bay’s run game is tough to trust with Josh Jacobs banged up, but Watson dominated the passing usage last week. He led the team in snaps, routes, targets, yards, air yards, and receptions.
Watson didn’t score, but the Packers kept things ultra conservative because of JJ McCarthy’s poor play on the other side and were nursing an easy lead.
Jordan Love should run a more aggressive offense indoors as a 2.5-point dog against a high-scoring Detroit team. The Lions’ secondary also has injury concerns with Kerby Joseph, Terrion Arnold, and Brian Branch all questionable.
Watson should be the shortest TD price among Packers receivers — not Romeo Doubs, who has just 81 yards over his last three games and sits around +170.
Chiefs vs Cowboys
Patrick Mahomes (+400 at DraftKings) A+
I’m already on Patrick Mahomes Over 20.5 rushing yards, but I like his anytime TD at +350 or better even more.
Mahomes has more carries than Lamar Jackson this season and ranks first among all quarterbacks in scramble yards (PFF). He’s scored in four of 11 games and gets a strong matchup for QB rushing TDs in Dallas.
The Cowboys have allowed a QB rushing TD in three straight home games (Jalen Hurts, Jacoby Brissett, and Jayden Daniels). They’re giving up the most passing yards at home and 29.4 points per game — third most in the league.
Kareem Hunt is coming off a 30-carry workload on a short week after not topping 13 carries all season, so those old legs will not be fresh on the short week.
Kansas City also owns the highest pass rate in the NFL and leads in pass rate over expected, which means more red-zone dropbacks and scramble chances.
Mahomes knows he has to carry this team to keep playoff hopes alive, and a Thanksgiving prime-time spot in Dallas is a perfect setup for him to take over — including with his legs near the goal line.
Bengals vs Ravens
Andrei Iosivas (+300 at DraftKings) A+
Tee Higgins is out for Week 12, Joe Burrow is likely back, and this is a strong price on the Bengals’ WR2 against a Baltimore defense that’s faced Tyrod Taylor, Dillon Gabriel/Shedeur Sanders, and JJ McCarthy in its last three games.
Andrei Iosivas led all Bengals pass catchers last week in targets, yards, air yards, snap share, and route share. That came without Ja’Marr Chase, who returns from his one-game suspension, but Iosivas steps into the Higgins role and should see plenty of single coverage.
The last four matchups between these teams have produced 253 total points, and in a game with a 50-point total and Burrow back, getting a top-two Bengals pass catcher at +250 or better is an automatic buy for me.
Thanksgiving Day anytime touchdown parlay
Christian Watson
George Pickens
Chase Brown
The Christian Watson love is stated in depth at the top of the article. He should be the shortest GB wide receiver for a TD, but isn't.
George Pickens has been outshining CeeDee Lamb of late, with the latter having some drop issues over the last couple of games. Pickens has Over 300 receiving yards across his last two games.
Chase Brown is going to bring it home. He played almost 90% of the snaps last week and might have an even bigger role in the passing game with Tee Higgins out.
My weekly NFL TD props column is +24.39 units for the season.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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