Aaron Rodgers Odds, Predictions & Projections for Wild Card Weekend

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst
Jan 11, 2026 • 12:20 ET • 4 min read
Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) drops back to pass against the Baltimore Ravens during the first half at Acrisure Stadium.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (8) drops back to pass against the Baltimore Ravens during the first half at Acrisure Stadium.

They don't ask how, they ask how many... and Aaron Rodgers helped the Pittsburgh Steelers get enough wins to win the AFC North.

The veteran QB will be a focal point in Monday's game against the Houston Texans, which is why my focus is on Aaron Rodgers' odds to help you fill out your NFL picks on January 12. 

Make sure to also check out our complete Texans vs. Steelers predictions.

Aaron Rodgers projections for Wild Card Weekend

Market Proj. Odds Value
Rushing yards
(0.5)
3.99 Over 0.5
-110
A+
Passing attempts
(33.5)
35.82 Over 33.5
-115
A
Passing touchdowns
(1.5)
0.85 Under 1.5
-240
B+
Passing yards
(205.5)
208.57 Over 205.5
<<ODDS>>
B+
Passing completions
(21.5)
20.54 Under 21.5
-130
C

The Houston Texans' defense has been making life hell for opposing QBs all season, and our projections expect more of the same for Rodgers on SNF. Their pressure will also put those old legs to use.

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Aaron Rodgers same-game parlay

Over 0.5 rushing yards

Over 33.5 pass attempts

Over 205.5 passing yards

Will Anderson and this Houston pass rush will get Rodgers out of the pocket, and he's shown he can still scamper for a few yards if it means he can extend the drive... unlike another old bag of bones in the NFC.

Houston will also likely be ahead for the majority of this game, meaning the Pittsburgh QB is going to have to air it out often to try and keep up.


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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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