The final matchup of Super Wild Card Weekend will see the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Houston Texans at Acrisure Stadium.
Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best NFL prop values for this game, which is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN and ABC.
Texans vs Steelers computer picks for Wild Card Weekend
 Texans |
 Steelers |
|---|---|
| Stroud u230.5 pass -110 |
Rodgers o33.5 pass att -115 |
| Marks o53.5 rush -110 |
Gainwell o28.5 rush -110 |
| Collins u70.5 rec -110 |
Metcalf o51.5 rec -110 |
| Schultz u41.5 rec -110 |
Freiermuth o31.5 rec -110 |
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Texans Wild Card computer picks
C.J. Stroud Under 230.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 205.69 yards
Stroud has historically struggled in outdoor games, and we're projecting him to finish below his total in near-freezing temperatures tonight.
🏈 Bet Stroud passing yards now
Woody Marks Over 53.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 69.19 yards
A struggling pass game means our projections expect a busy night for the rookie RB, who has topped this number in four of his last five meaningful games.
Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+122) - This prop shows tremendous value.
70+ yards (+210) - Not as much value as 60+, but still a price worth sprinkling on.
Nico Collins Under 70.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 62.14 yards
We're also forecasting a quieter night for Houston's star receiver, as he finishes Under his total for the third straight game.
🏈 Bet Collins receiving yards now
Dalton Schultz Under 41.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 38.46 yards
Our projections sit close to Schultz's posted yardage line, with him falling just a few yards short.
🏈 Bet Schultz receiving yards now
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Steelers Wild Card computer picks
Aaron Rodgers Over 33.5 passing attempts (-115)
Projection: 35.84 attempts
We're projecting Rodgers to finish right at his yardage total, but there's more value in him going Over his pass attempts market, which is a number he's topped in three straight and four of his last five.
Alternate-total bet
35+ attempts (+122) - This prop shows decent value.
🔥 Bet Rodgers pass attempts now
Kenneth Gainwell Over 28.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 32.33 yards
Pittsburgh's dual-threat RB has a modest rushing total for tonight, which we expect him to just eek by.
🔥 Bet Gainwell rushing yards now
D.K. Metcalf Over 51.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 56.96 yards
Back following a two-game suspension, we're projecting the Steelers' WR1 to go Over a number that he's topped in two of his last three outings.
🔥 Bet Metcalf receiving yards now
Pat Freiermuth Over 31.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 32.92 yards
We've got the Pittsburgh TE projected basically at his yardage line, going Over by a yard.
🔥 Bet Freiermuth receiving yards now
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