The Texas Tech Red Raiders are unquestionably the best team in the Big 12. If anything, this four-score spread is not enough deference to them when facing one of the only teams Oklahoma State may hope to beat in the UCF Knights.
My UCF vs. Texas Tech predictions and college football picks see all the Red Raiders’ advantages this weekend, ones that should force the Knights to pack it in early in preparation for a must-win game in a week to maintain bowl hopes. Texas Tech’s rout kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 15.
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UCF vs Texas Tech prediction
UCF vs Texas Tech best bet: Texas Tech -23.5 (-120)
The Texas Tech Red Raiders defense is the best in the country in terms of expected points added (EPA), per CFB-graphs.com. While that is an opponent-adjusted stat, some skepticism of the Red Raiders genuinely having the best defense in the country would be a valid wonder.
But it is not a pertinent wonder when facing an offense as putrid as that of the Central Florida Knights.
The nicest thing that can be said about the Knights’ offense is that it is only slightly below average in early-downs performance. Of course, that is slightly below the FBS average; UCF on early downs is wretched by Power Four standards.
And that is the closest thing to a compliment one can give Scott Frost’s offense in his first year back at Central Florida.
UCF’s team total is set at 10.5 or 11.5, depending on your sportsbook. Texas Tech may need only 31 points to handle this spread, a number the Red Raiders have cleared in eight of 10 games this season, the two exceptions coming against BYU last week and a few weeks ago at Arizona State when without starting quarterback Behren Morton.
UCF vs Texas Tech same-game parlay
Normally this would be a three-legged same-game parlay, but this unexpected combination of spread and total creates an escalated payout all on its own. The combination makes sense, though.
It is difficult to imagine Central Florida threatening the end zone multiple times, which should mean the Red Raiders can thread this needle by scoring anywhere between 31 and 40 points.
UCF vs Texas Tech SGP
- Texas Tech -23.5
- Under 47.5
UCF vs Texas Tech odds
- Spread: UCF +23.5 | Texas Tech -23.5
- Moneyline: UCF +1400 | Texas Tech -3500
- Over/Under: Over 47.5 | Under 47.5
UCF vs Texas Tech trend to know
Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight opponents fell short of their team totals and by an average of nine points per game. Find more college football betting trends for UCF vs Texas Tech.
How to watch UCF vs Texas Tech
| Location | Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX |
| Date | Saturday, November 15, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
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