The Texas Tech Red Raiders are clearly the top team in the Big 12, and even a four-score spread arguably doesn’t give them enough credit as they take on a UCF Knights squad that Oklahoma State might be one of the few teams capable of beating.
My UCF vs. Texas Tech predictions and college football picks highlight the many advantages working in the Red Raiders’ favor this weekend—factors that should have the Knights turning their focus to next week’s must-win matchup to preserve their bowl hopes.
Texas Tech’s rout gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 15.
Want to make sure Covers shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed?
Simply click here and add Covers as one of your "source preferences".
UCF vs Texas Tech prediction
UCF vs Texas Tech best bet: Texas Tech -23.5 (-120)
The Texas Tech Red Raiders defense is the best in the country in terms of expected points added (EPA), per CFB-graphs.com. While that is an opponent-adjusted stat, some skepticism of the Red Raiders genuinely having the best defense in the country would be a valid wonder.
But it is not a pertinent wonder when facing an offense as putrid as that of the Central Florida Knights.
The nicest thing that can be said about the Knights’ offense is that it is only slightly below average in early-downs performance. Of course, that is slightly below the FBS average; UCF on early downs is wretched by Power Four standards.
And that is the closest thing to a compliment one can give Scott Frost’s offense in his first year back at Central Florida.
UCF’s team total is set at 10.5 or 11.5, depending on your sportsbook. Texas Tech may need only 31 points to handle this spread, a number the Red Raiders have cleared in eight of 10 games this season, the two exceptions coming against BYU last week and a few weeks ago at Arizona State when without starting quarterback Behren Morton.
UCF vs Texas Tech same-game parlay
Normally this would be a three-legged same-game parlay, but this unexpected combination of spread and total creates an escalated payout all on its own. The combination makes sense, though.
It is difficult to imagine Central Florida threatening the end zone multiple times, which should mean the Red Raiders can thread this needle by scoring anywhere between 31 and 40 points.
UCF vs Texas Tech SGP
- Texas Tech -23.5
- Under 47.5
UCF vs Texas Tech game predictions
UCF vs Texas Tech moneyline prediction
A shocking upset should occur somewhere in college football this weekend, but Texas Tech’s defensive line is too good to allow such a worry in Lubbock.
UCF vs Texas Tech spread prediction
Even if UCF puts together a couple quality drives, the Knights rank 10th-worst in the country in points per scoring opportunity, managing just 2.41 points per quality drive. Field goals will not cover this spread.
UCF vs Texas Tech Over/Under prediction
Field goals will, however, help the likelihood of an Under here, worth considering as long as the total remains north of 45.
UCF vs Texas Tech odds
- Spread: UCF +23.5 | Texas Tech -23.5
- Moneyline: UCF +1400 | Texas Tech -3500
- Over/Under: Over 47.5 | Under 47.5
UCF vs Texas Tech trend to know
Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight opponents fell short of their team totals and by an average of nine points per game. Find more college football betting trends for UCF vs Texas Tech.
How to watch UCF vs Texas Tech
| Location | Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX |
| Date | Saturday, November 15, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
UCF vs Texas Tech latest injuries
UCF vs Texas Tech weather
Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
