Two undefeated teams collide in an interstate showdown Saturday as the Houston Cougars host the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
Despite Houston’s 4-0 start, Texas Tech has looked like the stronger squad, and I’m backing the Red Raiders to cover in my Texas Tech vs. Houston predictions.
Read on for a full breakdown of this Week 6 matchup in my free college football picks for October 4.
Texas Tech vs Houston prediction
Texas Tech vs Houston best bet: Texas Tech -11.5 (-110)
This is a battle of 4-0 teams, with Texas Tech and Houston each ranking Top 10 nationally in yards allowed per play and Top 15 in points allowed.
While some of that success comes against relatively weak schedules, both sides possess legitimate defensive talent and have done well to keep capable offenses in check.
However, there’s simply no comparison between these two offenses. The Cougars have put up decent numbers against weak competition, but have been held to 27 points by both Oregon State and Stephen F. Austin. Meanwhile, the Red Raiders are averaging 573 yards and 52.0 points per game.
There may be some quarterback controversy in Lubbock, but both Behren Morton and Will Hammond have shown they can move the ball at will.
And while Houston has done enough to beat cupcakes, Texas Tech has blown out even its toughest opponent, defeating the Utah Utes 34-10 on the road.
The Red Raiders will find ways to score, while the Cougars will struggle to move the ball against quality opposition. I like Texas Tech to win by multiple touchdowns.
Texas Tech vs Houston same-game parlay
While I like Texas Tech to pull away for a convincing win tonight, I don’t think either defense will fall apart, which has me playing the Under.
Cameron Dickey has scored for the Red Raiders in every game this year and should add to his total against Houston.
Texas Tech vs Houston 3-leg SGP
- Texas Tech -11.5
- Under 51.5
- Cameron Dickey anytime touchdown
Our deep-ball SGP: Lockdown U
Dean Conners has failed to top 55.5 rushing yards in two of his first four games, and Houston will likely be playing from behind against Texas Tech.
Meanwhile, Conner Weigman has already been held Under 200 yards passing in two starts, and the Red Raiders are limiting opponents to just 5.1 yards per passing attempt.
Texas Tech vs Houston 5-leg SGP
- Texas Tech -11.5
- Under 51.5
- Cameron Dickey anytime touchdown
- Dean Conners Under 55.5 rushing yards
- Conner Weigman Under 201.5 passing yards
Texas Tech vs Houston game predictions
Texas Tech vs Houston moneyline prediction
This is a safe pick, and even at very short odds, there’s value in betting on Texas Tech to win outright.
Texas Tech vs Houston spread prediction
The Red Raiders should outclass a Houston squad that has struggled against far lesser competition.
Texas Tech vs Houston Over/Under prediction
Both defenses have performed really well this season, so they should be able to keep this a low-scoring affair.
Texas Tech vs Houston odds
- Spread: Texas Tech -10.5 (-110) | Houston +10.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Texas Tech -450 | Houston +350
- Over/Under: Over 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110)
Texas Tech vs Houston trend to know
Texas Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last six meetings with Houston. Find more college football betting trends for Texas Tech vs Houston.
How to watch Texas Tech vs Houston
| Location | TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX |
| Date | Saturday, October 4, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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