Texas State vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 3

Rosales' prediction: Texas State has the momentum to stay on Arizona State's heels.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Sep 13, 2025 • 19:22 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 1 hrs
ASU
45 %
TXST
55 %
Read Analysis
Lincoln Pare Texas State Bobcats NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Texas State Bobcats running back Lincoln Pare (7) celebrates after scoring a touchdown.

After dropping out of the Top 25 last week, the Arizona State Sun Devils look to rebound against the 2-0 Texas State Bobcats tonight.

Even though the Bobcats have shown big scoring potential and narrowly lost to ASU last season, the Sun Devils enter as hefty 17.5-point favorites in the college football odds.

I'm taking the points in my Texas State vs. Arizona State predictions and college football picks for Saturday, September 13.

Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET from Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, with the game airing on TNT.

Texas State vs Arizona State prediction

Texas State vs Arizona State best bet: Texas State +17.5 (-110)

I know the competition level rises, but Texas State has been a wrecking ball through two weeks, averaging 530 yards of total offense in blowout wins over Eastern Michigan and USTA.

It’s been a jarring balance of offense, churning out 280 yards per game on the ground and 250 through the air.

There’s also the added incentive of revenge, after Arizona State barely escaped with a 31-28 victory almost exactly a year to the day they meet again.

The Sun Devils are coming off a 24-20 loss to Mississippi State. While Raleek Brown and Kanye Udoh each rushed for 100+, QB Sam Leavitt threw for just 82 yards and had two picks.

Even if he cleans it up Saturday, I like the Bobcats to hang around against the reigning Big 12 champs, who are still transitioning out of the Cam Skattebo era.

Texas State vs Arizona State same-game parlay

I know Texas State is going to feel the level up, but they’ve proven their offense can hang with these Big 12 heavies.

Last year, they posted 21 points by halftime, only to be matched by the Sun Devils.

The Bobcats have enjoyed the halftime lead in both of their previous games, while ASU is coming off a game where they just had three points at the half.

If you believe Texas State can cover (like I do), they’ll need to do some offensive work early, and this bet plays right into that. 

Texas State vs Arizona State SGP

  • Texas State +17.5
  • Over 60.5 points
  • Texas State first-half winner

Texas State vs Arizona State game predictions

Texas State vs Arizona State moneyline prediction

There’s a better chance than most at a potential upset here, and the odds are worth it if you like Texas State at +610.

However, bettor beware: the Sun Devils have won eight straight games in Arizona.

Texas State vs Arizona State spread prediction

My best bet is for Texas State to stay inside the number and cover at +17.5. 

Texas State vs Arizona State Over/Under prediction

I like the idea of Texas State forcing ASU into their style of play – one that produced 59 points last time they met.

Both teams have been putting up numbers lately, though: the Bobcats have cashed the Over both times this season and six times in their last seven games overall.

The Sun Devils went Under in the loss to Mississippi State, but the Over had cashed in seven of ASU’s previous eight.

Texas State vs Arizona State odds

  • Spread: Texas State +17.5 (-106) | Arizona State -17.5 (-114)
  • Moneyline: Texas State +610 | Arizona State -950
  • Over/Under: Over 60.5 (-115) | Under 60.5 (-105)

Texas State vs Arizona State trend to know

Texas State is 5-2-0 against the spread in its last seven games. Find more college football betting trends for Texas State vs Arizona State.

How to watch Texas State vs Arizona State

Location Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Date Saturday, September 13, 2025
Kickoff 10:30 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Texas State vs Arizona State latest injuries

Texas State vs Arizona State weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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