College Football Player Prop Projections Week 3: Our Best Computer Picks This Week

Jayden Maiava staying hot highlights our best computer prop projections for this Saturday.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Sep 11, 2025 • 10:51 ET • 4 min read
College football computer picks Week 3 Jayden Maiava
Photo By - Imagn Images. USC Trojans quarterback Jayden Maiava (14) throws a pass.

Week 3 of the college football season features two major prime-time matchups, along with a massive mid-afternoon SEC showdown and a few other notable contests between big-time programs.

To help you find the best CFB picks to make this week, our Covers college football player prop projections have highlighted the best value plays on the board — along with some big plus-money alternate total options!

College football player props: Our top Week 3 projections

Player Pick FanDuel
Wisconsin Trech Kekahuna o20.5 rec yards -114
Tennessee Joey Aguilar o10.5 rush yards -114
USC Jayden Maiava o262.5 pass yards -114
Florida Vernell Brown III o41.5 rec yards -114
Notre Dame Jaden Greathouse o28.5 rec yards -114
Duke Darian Mensah u285.5 pass yards -114

Wisconsin Trech Kekahuna Over 20.5 receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 40.6 yards | Saturday, 12:00 p.m. ET

Wisconsin's slot receiver is projected for a busy day in what should be a pass-heavy game script as Wisconsin is a three-touchdown underdog at Alabama.

Alternate-total bet
30+ yards (+154) - Showing incredible value. Playing 40+ is also a solid at +250, but not as much as 30+.

Tennessee Joey Aguilar Over 10.5 rushing yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 24.1 yards | Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET

The Vols' QB could be using his legs against a fierce Georgia defense on Saturday, with our projection putting him at 24 yards one week after he ran for 34 against Syracuse.

Alternate-total bet
20+ yards (+178) - Great value. Can also play 25+ at +240, but it is nowhere near as strong as 20+.

USC Jayden Maiava Over 262.5 passing yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 299.4 yards | Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET

Our prop projections expect Maiava's hot start to the season to continue, forecasting him for around 300 yards for the third straight game.

Alternate-total bet
275+ yards (+118) - Another high-value play. You can also go 300+ yards at +194, but it's not as good a value.

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Florida Vernell Brown III Over 41.5 receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 51.5 yards | Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET

Our prop projections expect Florida's leading receiver to top his yardage total at Death Valley on Saturday, a number he's cleared in each of his first two games.

Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+154) - Showing a lot of value.

Notre Dame Jaden Greathouse Over 28.5 receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 40.7 yards | Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET

After a goose egg in the season opener, our projections expect Greathouse to go past his total in another matchup with a ranked program.

Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+148) - Showing moderate value.

Duke Darian Mensah Under 285.5 passing yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 230.5 yards | Saturday, 8:00 p.m. ET

Our projections think the Duke QB will not ball out in a showdown against his former program in Tulane, as he's forecasted to finish almost 60 yards short of his total.

Not intended for use in MA.
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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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