The Texas Tech Red Raiders have not lost with starting quarterback Behren Morton behind center, which is why my Oregon vs. Texas Tech same-game parlay puts its faith in the Red Raiders across the board.
For more college football picks, be sure also to read my complete Oregon vs. Texas Tech predictions.
Our best Oregon vs Texas Tech SGP for the Orange Bowl
The biggest red flag in Oregon’s first-round playoff blowout of James Madison was the Dukes' success running the ball. They added 0.68 expected points per rush attempt, a number that ranks in the 99th percentile of expectations. They had seven explosive rushing plays, and they succeeded on 59% of their rush attempts.
James Madison ran through Oregon, gaining 190 yards on 32 rush attempts. There is no version of those numbers that is not a problem.
Texas Tech should rely on complementary football in this matchup, running the ball against the Ducks’ weakness and trusting a dynamic Red Raiders’ defense to eventually create an advantageous situation.
That may not sound fancy, but it will be effective. There is a reason Texas Tech has gone 8-0 against the spread against Power Four competition with Behren Morton behind center. The Red Raiders are efficient in nearly all facets of the game.
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