Miami vs Ohio State Player Props & Best Bets for the Cotton Bowl Classic

Bo Jackson, not Julian Sayin, will be the star of the show for the Ohio State offense in this CFP Quarterfinal, as Douglas Farmer's Miami vs. Ohio State prop picks explain.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Dec 31, 2025 • 09:45 ET • 4 min read
Ohio State Buckeyes Bo Jackson NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Ohio State Buckeyes running back Bo Jackson (25) runs through Indiana Hoosiers linebacker Rolijah Hardy.

Should Ohio State Buckeyes fans be worried that head coach Ryan Day is suddenly back in charge of calling plays as first-year offensive coordinator Brian Hartline juggles both his Buckeyes duties and his new role as South Florida head coach? After all, Ohio State could never win the biggest games until Chip Kelly took over the Buckeyes’ play-calling last year.

Against the Miami Hurricanes’ pass rush, Day’s conservative nature could be a worry. Then again, my Miami vs. Ohio State props see possible Cotton Bowl value in Day’s conservative nature.

For further analysis of this CFP Quarterfinal, check out Andrew Caley's Miami vs. Ohio State predictions.

Miami vs Ohio State props for the Cotton Bowl Classic

Player Pick FanDuel
Ohio State Julian Sayin Under 236.5 passing yards -114
Ohio State Bo Jackson 80+ rushing yards +118
Miami Malachi Toney Anytime TD +180
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Julian Sayin Under 236.5 passing yards

-114 at FanDuel

It is not solely Ryan Day’s conservative nature that should discourage you from believing in Ohio State Buckeyes QB Julian Sayin in the Cotton Bowl. It is also the Miami Hurricanes' pass rush.

The best way to neutralize the Hurricanes’ dynamic defensive ends will be to run the ball.

Sayin is certainly capable of clearing this prop. He did so even in the pedestrian Big Ten title game, throwing for 258 yards in a 13-10 slog. But Sayin fell short of this number in the three games prior to that, as well as against perhaps the two best teams Ohio State faced in the regular season, Texas and Illinois.

Do not be surprised at all if Day opens up cautiously on Wednesday night, just as the Buckeyes did to open the season against Texas. And do not be surprised at all if Day keeps Sayin under wraps for longer than expected to minimize the damage against Akheem Meisdor and Rueben Bain.

Bo Jackson 80+ rushing yards

+118 at FanDuel

If Ohio State is likely to take the ball out of Julian Sayin’s hands, then it is also likely to emphasize freshman running back Bo Jackson. He has become the quiet engine behind the Buckeyes’ offense since the start of November.

In five of Ohio State’s last six games, Jackson has rushed for at least 80 yards, three of them cracking 100 yards. The sole exception still featured 75 rushing yards in a blowout at Purdue.

Miami is plenty good against the run, ranking No. 7 in expected points added (EPA) per rush against, according to CFB-graphs.com. But emphasizing Jackson will fit both the Buckeyes’ clearest successes of late as well as Ryan Day’s usual preferences.

Malachi Toney anytime TD

+180 at FanDuel

This does not need to be complicated. Malachi Toney has scored in each of the last four games, Miami’s most important games of the season, as well as in six of the Hurricanes’ last nine contests.

Even at Texas A&M against a Top-10 passing defense, Toney found the end zone on a jet sweep. Miami knows it needs to get the ball to its best player.

The Hurricanes will find a way to include Toney no matter how the Buckeyes defend him.

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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