Latest College Football National Championship Odds: Oregon Shortens to +650

The Ducks are on the move in the national title odds thanks to the exploits of Dante Moore.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Sep 14, 2025 • 10:30 ET • 4 min read
Oregon Ducks NCAAF Dante Moore
Photo By - Imagn Images. Oregon Ducks quarterback Dante Moore (5) runs the ball.

While the videos of Texas Longhorns’ fans booing Arch Manning are excellent social media fodder, realize sportsbooks are not wavering on their opinions of Texas.

The Longhorns continue to sit at +700 in the National Championship odds, just as they were before Manning’s seeming struggles against UTEP on Saturday.

However, they've been surpassed by the Oregon Ducks, who joined Ohio State, Georgia, Penn State, and Texas in the top tier of national championship contenders after Week 3.

Latest College Football National Championship Odds: Oh hello, Oregon

As last weekend ended, the Oregon Ducks sat at +1100 to win the National Championship, not only behind our top tier of four teams, but also behind LSU at +1000. After thumping Northwestern on Saturday, suddenly the Ducks are at +650, right with Penn State to win the title.

Assuredly, beating Northwestern 34-14 is not that impressive, right? Right.

But this is now three games where junior quarterback Dante Moore has looked like the kind of passer that could win a tight game. He has now thrown six touchdowns with just one interception while completing 77.3% of his passes.

No, the opponents have not been stout. Life will assuredly get harder than Moore’s current 10.9 yards per attempt average suggests. But these rates have now been sustained long enough to warrant some faith.

Oregon entered the season with a clearly talented roster, but it lacked proven experience at many positions. Proving a talent at quarterback answers many of those questions.

The Ducks’ schedule helps this thought. Aside from a trip to Penn State in two weeks, Oregon can probably coast through this regular season.

Factor that into every team’s national championship odds. Effectively, title odds start with the question, “What are the odds this team finishes the regular season no worse than 10-2?”

From there, the roster’s talent and experience factors in. Oregon excels in two of those categories, and Moore’s emergence starts to lend some thoughts to experience.

Latest National Championship favorites

Odds courtesy of FanDuel.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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