It’d been nearly two full years since the UNLV football program notched a win, but that’s exactly what happened last week after a 31-17 victory over New Mexico.
Hawaii is in the midst of an underwhelming 4-6 season, with a sputtering offense and mediocre defense.
Will the Rainbow Warriors inch closer toward bowl eligibility, or will UNLV make it two straight under head coach Marcus Arroyo?
See our picks and predictions for the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. the UNLV Rebels on Saturday, November 13 to find out.
Hawaii vs UNLV odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Hawaii opened -2.5, but has been bet up to -3.5 across most books at the time of this writing. The total opened at 57 and has been bet down to 56, with 55.5 available at a couple of outlets.
Hawaii vs UNLV picks
Picks made on 11/12/2021 at 7:20 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Hawaii vs UNLV game info
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
• Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021
• Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
• TV: CBSSN, Spectrum OC16
Hawaii vs UNLV betting preview
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Hawaii: None to report.
UNLV: None to report.
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Hawaii is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Find more NCAA betting trends for Hawaii vs. UNLV.
Hawaii vs UNLV predictions
UNLV +3.5 (-110)
What a relief it must be for Marcus Arroyo to notch his first victory as coach of the Rebels after 14 straight losses to begin his tenure in Sin City. Is UNLV fat and happy after its first win in nearly two years? Hardly. Arroyo stated that he thought his offense could have put up 50 points in last week's victory if it executed better and that they’re making the needed adjustments to capitalize.
Hawaii has done nothing in 2021 to inspire confidence as a road favorite laying over a field goal. Of its four victories this season, two have come against lowly New Mexico State — who is 1-8 on the season and is being outscored by 15 points per game — and one against Portland State.
The Rainbow Warriors have benefitted from a scheduling quirk allowing them to play one of the worst teams in the country twice in the same season. It’s fluffed up their numbers – and record – but make no mistake about it, this is a struggling team that may not even make a bowl despite the easy schedule.
Hawaii decided to bring in head coach Todd Graham’s son Bo Graham as offensive coordinator in the offseason, and the results have been underwhelming. The offense lacks a clear identity, quarterback Chevan Cordeiro has regressed significantly since 2020, and the leading receivers of the last few weeks have been two running backs. It’s not clear what they’re trying to accomplish on that side of the football, and the defense (107th in the country, allowing 430.7 yards per game) isn’t good enough to make up for the stalling.
UNLV has been somewhat undervalued in the betting markets, going 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog. This spot seems right for them to find the cover at home.
Under 55.5 (-110)
As alluded to earlier, the move to Bo Graham as offensive coordinator has been somewhat of a disaster for Hawaii. If we remove the two New Mexico State cakewalks and the game against FCS Portland State, the offense is averaging only 19.3 points per game. This UNLV defense certainly isn’t great, but Hawaii does not appear best-suited to take advantage of a weak Rebels secondary, considering the struggles of quarterback Chevan Cordeiro and the lack of a cohesive offensive game plan or identity.
Expect UNLV to keep the ball on the ground with all-time school rushing leader Charles Williams in the backfield. UNLV has a real chance at another victory if they take care of the football and control the flow of the game, and that’s what we expect the coaching staff to attempt to do. This would benefit the Under.
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