College Football Week 5 Hate Picks: Back Those Buckeyes

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 2, 2026 , 03:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Our college football expert believes the Ohio State Buckeyes are foaming at the mouth to take down the Iowa Hawkeyes following their win over Michigan.

College Football Week 5 Hate Picks
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jeremiah Smith (4) scores a touchdown

Hate hate hate hate hate... Get ready to hate in Week 5!

Whether you're looking to hate-watch Clemson (again), fade Iowa, or watch a bunch of rich people dish out millions to buy out Lincoln Riley, there's plenty to break down in my college football Week 5 hate picks!

Before you dive in, check out all of our plays on our college football picks page for this weekend's slate. 

Week 5 college football hate picks

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Matchup Pick Hate Meter
🤬😡😠
Kalshi
Probability
Miami Miami @ Clemson Clemson Miami -16.5 🤬 54%
Ohio State Ohio State @ Iowa Iowa Ohio State -14.5 😠 52%
Washington Washington @ USC USC Wash +9.5 😠 51%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. 

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🤬 Miami vs Clemson: Miami -16.5 

Kalshi probability: 54%

Who's hatin: Dabo Haters

Why I'm hatin: I am the biggest Dabo Swinney hater in this galaxy. Miami to cover the 16.5-point spread was the first bet I placed for Week 5, and no, it wasn't simply blind hatred. I am far more logical than I may look.

Last week, I faded Clemson as it headed to California to take on the Golden Bears following a late score against the Tar Heels the week prior, in a spot where it could have just run the clock out and won, but chose to cover the spread. The Tigers sadly beat Cal 24-10 last Friday.

Now, they have to fly all the way back home to take on the No. 4 team in the country, one that has yet to, and in my eyes cannot, take its foot off the gas.

The Hurricanes have one of the easiest schedules and cannot afford to let up if they want to make it to the College Football Playoff. They and Notre Dame are in very similar boats to where they were a year ago.

Clemson will easily be the toughest team the Hurricanes have played up to this point, but it is not even close to being in the same stratosphere as Miami. The Canes should roll with ease.

Take this up to 20.5.

😠 Ohio State vs Iowa: Ohio State -14.5 

Kalshi probability: 52%

Who's hatin: Corn haters

Why I'm hatin: After Ohio State's loss to Texas in Week 2, this Buckeyes team needs a quality win to add to its resume. The Buckeyes find themselves in a great spot in Iowa City, as the Hawkeyes are coming off a big outright win at the Big House last week.

In their 20-19 win over Michigan, the Wolverines outgained the Hawkeyes by 144 yards. Iowa rushed for just 58 yards and recorded 16 first downs. If it weren't for an interception on Iowa's 19-yard line, Michigan likely would have come out on top.

Now, Kinnick Stadium is easily one of the hardest places to play, but this is a game the Buckeyes should be able to take care of business. They are easily the most well-rounded and talented offense this Iowa defense has faced this season.

If you can get the key number of -13.5, snag it!

😠 Washington vs USC: Washington +9.5

Kalshi probability: 51%

Who's hatin: USC Boosters

Why I'm hatin: As Southern Cal boosters prepare to potentially buy out Lincoln Riley following the season if this Trojans team continues on its trajectory of mediocrity, we’ll be looking to back Washington following its home loss to the Golden Gophers last week.

The Trojans have not looked impressive at all this season, kicking things off with an underwhelming win over San Jose State, followed by a seven-point win over Rutgers, which lost to UMass to kick off its season.

Then, this past week, Dylan Raiola came in after Dante Moore's injury and nearly threw for 300 yards.

Despite Washington’s loss to Minnesota, this will be a tough team for USC to beat by double digits. The Huskies were clearly looking ahead to this matchup, and I don’t believe the Trojans have the pull-away power to create that kind of separation.


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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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