The Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry is renewed when the No. 10 Georgia Bulldogs visit the Auburn Tigers in Week 7.
Auburn is still looking for its first SEC win, and it hasn’t beaten Georgia since 2017. So why do the Tigers still stand a chance?
Read on for my Georgia vs. Auburn predictions and college football picks for Saturday, October 11.
Georgia vs Auburn predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
Early Georgia vs Auburn spread pick: Auburn +4.5
The Auburn Tigers haven’t exactly been an inspirational team lately, but there are a few distinct factors in their favor for Week 7’s rivalry clash with the Georgia Bulldogs. Hugh Freeze’s team is well-rested and well-prepared coming off a bye week, and this will be a night game at Jordan-Hare Stadium, so the 4.5 points are appealing.
Auburn’s biggest issue has been in pass protection. Quarterback Jackson Arnold was sacked nine times in the loss to Oklahoma and then five more times against Texas A&M. Part of the blame falls upon Arnold, who's taken far too long in the pocket to make his reads.
The sack issue is mitigated against a Georgia team that has flatly failed to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks, ranking 125th in pass rush grade (per PFF) and 107th in front seven havoc.
On the flip side, Georgia’s offense has excelled in rushing the ball, averaging 206.8 yards per game. Auburn’s defensive strength is stopping the run, holding opponents to 2.6 yards per rush while ranking second in EPA per rush and fifth in rushing success rate allowed.
The situational factors benefit Auburn, and the matchups on paper do as well.
Early Georgia vs Auburn total pick: Over 46.5
Georgia has become a more offense-oriented team this season, scoring 34.6 points per game and ranking 15th in success rate. Gunner Stockton has performed admirably at quarterback, and his ability to use his legs (194 rushing yards, five touchdowns) keeps defenses off balance.
Auburn has mostly been tough against the run but allowed 207 yards and a score on the ground to Texas A&M in its last game, so it’d be a surprise if they totally shut down the Bulldogs. The Tigers have been vulnerable in the secondary (97th in EPA per pass) at times.
One might point out that it’s difficult to trust Auburn’s offense right now, and they’d have a point. That being said, it’s also the reason why this total is down at 46.5, so I’m buying low on this unit. The Tigers have been hamstrung by negative plays and an inability to protect, but Georgia hasn’t proven capable of capitalizing on this deficiency.
Auburn shouldn’t be shy about running Arnold in this spot. This should open up the offense a bit, and he’ll have time to throw and hit standout receivers Cam Coleman and Eric Singleton Jr.
Georgia vs Auburn odds
- Georgia vs. Auburn spread: Auburn +4.5
- Georgia vs. Auburn moneyline: Georgia -175, Auburn +145
- Georgia vs. Auburn Over/Under: 46.5
How to watch Georgia vs Auburn
- Georgia vs. Auburn matchup
- Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- City: Auburn, AL
- Venue: Jordan-Hare Stadium
- TV: ABC
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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