The College Football Playoff rolls on during New Year’s Day with the first tilt of 2026 featuring the Oregon Ducks and the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
The best college football betting sites have Oregon as a narrow -2.5 favorite on the spread. College football player props are also available now for Oregon versus Texas Tech.
Below, we will look at player prop projections for all of the top offensive players in this CFB Playoff showdown.
Oregon vs Texas Tech computer picks
 Oregon |
 Texas Tech |
|---|---|
| Moore Under 231.5 passing yards (-115) | Morton Under 238.5 passing yards (-115) |
| Whittington Under 68.5 rushing yards (-114) | Dickey Under 66.5 rushing yards (-115) |
| Benson Over 35.5 receiving yards (-114) | Douglas Under 56.5 receiving yards (-115) |
| Sadiq Over 44.5 receiving yards (-115) | Virgil Over 44.5 receiving yards (-109) |
Oregon computer picks
Dante Moore Under 231.5 passing yards (-115)
Projection: 223.6 yards
Moore had his top passing game of the season, yardage-wise on Dec. 20 against James Madison. He threw for 313 yards in the 51-34 blowout win for the Ducks.
The competition is about to get a whole lot stiffer for Moore, however, as he is set to face a Texas Tech defense that allows just 185.9 yards per game through the air.
The last time we saw the Red Raiders D in action they held BYU’s Bear Bachmeier to just 115 yards passing.
This number is far too high for Moore, IMO, and the computer agrees with me. We’ll take the Under.
Noah Whittington Under 68.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 55.9 yards
Whittington is in for a long evening as he will face the No.1 run defense in the nation. The Red Raiders allow a measly 68.5 yards per game on the ground. That’s nearly nine yards less than the second team in country (Oklahoma giving up 77.3 yards per game on the ground).
In addition, Whittington hasn’t exactly been lighting it up on the ground in his past few games. He ran for just 24 yards on four carries against JMU, and posted only 47 yards on 17 carries the week prior against Washington.
The computer and I both like the Under here.
Malik Benson Over 35.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 50.6 receiving yards
Benson has become Moore’s favorite target, having gone Over 35.5 receiving yards in each of his last four games. The senior has even gone over the century mark in receiving the last two games, having brought in 102 yards against Washington on Nov. 29 and 119 yards on Dec. 20 against JMU.
This 35.5 number is more than do-able for Benson. Texas Tech played what was a top 15 team in BYU twice in the span of a month late in the season. The Red Raiders blasted BYU in both games, but BYU’s leading receiver, Parker Kingston, was able to put up respectable numbers in both outings.
Kingston had 43 yards receiving in the first game, and 44 yards receiving in the second. Benson should be able to put up similar numbers against Texas Tech.
Texas Tech should be able to keep Benson from running wild, but I think getting Over 35.5 yards is almost a certainty. The computer agrees.
Kenyon Sadiq Over 44.5 receiving yards (-115)
Projection: 49.2 yards
Sadiq is a boom or bust tight end, as he’ll put up monster numbers in one game, but be cricket-quiet the next.
For instance, he had 80 yards receiving against Rutgers on Oct. 18, but the next week he posted just six yards receiving against Wisconsin.
More recently, Sadiq had a 72-yard receiving day against USC, but posted an 11-yard day against Washington the next week.
Too much volatility here to take the Over. I’ll disagree with the computer and take the Under.
Texas Tech computer picks
Behren Morton Under 238.5 passing yards (-115)
Projection: 218.1 yards
Oregon has one of the top pass defenses in the country. The Ducks have given up the sixth least amount passing yardage in the nation (158.1 yards per game).
This 238.5 number is probably too hefty for Morton to reach.
Morton has faced three ranked teams so far this season (Utah, and BYU twice). The Red Raiders QB threw for just 142 yards against Utah. In the first meeting with BYU, he went for 219 yards, and in the second showdown he threw for 215.
I like the Under for Morton here, as does the computer.
Cameron Dickey Under 66.5 rushing yards (-115)
Projection: 61.1 yards
Dickey has gone Over 66.5 rushing yards in nine of 13 games this season. He has gone well Over that number in each of his last five games.
Oregon’s run defense is solid but not nearly as good as its pass defense. The Ducks are giving up 113.3 yards per game on the ground this season.
In Oregon’s blowout win over James Madison in the CFB Playoff first round, Dukes RB Wayne Knight still managed to run for 110 yards on 17 carries.
I like Dickey to have a strong game against Oregon. I’ll disagree with the computer here and take the Over.
Caleb Douglas Under 56.5 receiving yards
Projection: 50.4 yards
Douglas is the Red Raiders’ leading receiver this season, having racked up 846 yards total. Reggie Virgil and Coy Eakin are right behind him, though, with 676 and 626 yards respectively.
Morton spreads the wealth in the Red Raiders’ offense, making it hard to trust Overs with any of these receivers.
I’ll agree with the computer here and take the Under.
Reggie Virgil Over 44.5 receiving yards (-109)
Projection: 51.5 yards
Again, the variance here with these receivers is too much be confident in picking an Over. Here is a look at the receiving numbers for Douglas, Virgil and Eakin the past four games.
- vs. BYU: Virgil 8 catches for 86 yards, Coy Eakin 3 for 66, Douglas 1 for 23.
- vs. West Virginia: Douglas 5 catches for 127 yards, Virgil 2 for 29, Eakin 3 for 28
- vs. UCF: Douglas 5 catches for 90 yards, Virgil 5 for 72, Eakin 2 for 20
- vs. BYU (11/8): Virgil 3 catches for 54 yards, Eakin 4 for 52, Douglas 2 for 12
It’s incredibly difficult to know which receiver Morton will target the most game-to-game. I’m going to take the Under here as well and go against the computer.
