One of the last games in Week 7 is worth staying up late for as two 4-1 teams, the No. 21 Arizona State Sun Devils and Utah Utes, collide at Rice-Eccles.
There are several factors in this handicap indicating a low-scoring ball game, so I’m targeting the Under with my best bet for this Big 12 late-night showdown.
See why my college football picks for Arizona State vs. Utah predictions on Saturday, October 11, are expecting the Under to come through.
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Arizona State vs Utah prediction
Arizona State vs Utah best bet: Under 45.5 (-106 at FanDuel)
The most notable news for this game is that Arizona State Sun Devils star quarterback Sam Leavitt was surprisingly listed as doubtful on Thursday’s injury report.
Enter Jeff Sims, owner of a career 31:29 touchdown-to-interception ratio, who ignominiously led the Sun Devils to a 14-24 loss at Cincinnati a year ago in fill-in duty.
There’s also rain in the forecast, with a 93% chance of precipitation at the time of kickoff, and it’s expected to continue throughout the game. In what’s usually a raucous environment at Rice-Eccles Stadium for night games, these offenses could struggle to generate momentum.
Kenny Dillingham has already opted to slow things down this year, leading to four Unders cashing in ASU’s first five games.
The Utah Utes rank 10th in success rate on defense and have a disruptive front led by John Henry Daley (8.5 tackles for loss), so the effectiveness of such an approach is called into question.
On the flip side, Utah’s offense is effective (11th in success rate) but not explosive (134th in explosiveness). Quarterback Devon Dampier has completed just two of his 16 pass attempts of 20 or more yards downfield. Sign me up for the Under.
Arizona State vs Utah same-game parlay
This SGP is centered around a low-scoring game in which both teams lean on the ground game.
The Sun Devils will look to shorten the clock, so expect plenty of touches for Raleek Brown.
The shifty tailback has racked up 506 rushing yards on 6.6 yards per carry while forcing 29 missed tackles, and he’s seeing a big workload with 41 more touches than any other ASU skill player.
Arizona State vs Utah SGP
- Under 45.5
- Arizona State +7.5
- Raleek Brown anytime touchdown
Our deep-ball SGP: Heavy on Ground Game
Rain in the forecast means that the star offensive players for each respective team, Devon Dampier and Raleek Brown, should see heavy utilization on the ground.
Arizona State vs Utah SGP
- Under 45.5
- Arizona State +7.5
- Raleek Brown anytime touchdown
- Devon Dampier Over 50.5 rushing yards
Arizona State vs Utah odds
- Spread: Arizona State +7.5 (-105) | Utah -7.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Arizona State +250 | Utah -310
- Over/Under: Over 45.5 (-114) | Under 45.5 (-106)
Arizona State vs Utah trend to know
Utah has gone Under the total in nine of its last 12 games as a home favorite. Find more college football betting trends for Arizona State vs Utah.
How to watch Arizona State vs Utah
| Location | Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT |
| Date | Saturday, October 11, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Arizona State vs Utah latest injuries
Arizona State vs Utah weather
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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