The middle leg of today's CFP quarterfinal three-pack will see the Alabama Crimson Tide take on the No. 1-seeded Indiana Hoosiers.
We've found the best CFP prop values, courtesy of our college football player prop projections, where receiver Overs are in play... even though QB Unders seem to be the lean.
Alabama vs Indiana computer picks for CFP Quarterfinal
 Alabama |
 Indiana |
|---|---|
| Simpson u240.5 pass -114 |
Mendoza u220.5 pass -114 |
| Miller o31.5 rush -114 |
Hemby u61.5 rush -114 |
| Horton o34.5 rec -114 |
Sarratt o59.5 rec -114 |
| Bernard o50.5 rec -114 |
Nowakowski o17.5 rec -114 |
Alabama computer picks
Ty Simpson Under 240.5 passing yards (-114)
Projection: 213.58 yards
Simpson has finished below this total in four straight games — and we're projecting him to make it five straight today.
🏈 Bet simpson passing yards now
Jam Miller Over 31.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 37.72 yards
Miller says he's healthy and ready to go, and we're projecting the 'Bama star RB to fight past what a low rushing total.
🔥 Bet miller rushing yards now
Isaiah Horton Over 34.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 41.38 yards
Horton has the most value among Crimson Tide receivers today, with a projection a few yards above a total that is in line with his season average.
Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+114) - This price shows decent value.
🔥 Bet horton receiving yards now
Germie Bernard Over 50.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 51.59 yards
We're projecting the 'Bama leading receiver to just edge past his receiving total, a number he's surpassed in five of his last seven games.
🔥 Bet bernard receiving yards now
Indiana computer picks
Fernando Mendoza Under 220.5 passing yards (-114)
Projection: 204.51 yards
Mendoza has 222 yards or fewer in four of his last five, and we're expecting another low output for the star QB this afternoon.
🏈 Bet mendoza passing yards now
Roman Hemby Under 61.5 rushing yards (-114)
Projection: 56.95 yards
We're projecting IU's leading rusher to fall Under his total today, which would be the fourth time in five games he failed to hit the 60-yard mark.
Elijah Sarratt Over 59.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 68.01 yards
We're not enthusiastic about Indiana's leading receiver, Omar Cooper Jr., going above his yardage total, but we do see value in Sarratt surpassing his posted line.
🔥 Bet sarratt receiving yards now
Riley Nowakowski Over 17.5 receiving yards (-114)
Projection: 23.96 yards
The Hoosier TE has recorded 20+ yards in five of his last seven games, and we're projecting him to finish around that number today as well.
🔥 Bet nowakowski receiving yards now
Not intended for use in MA.
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