Texas vs Mississippi Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's SEC Tournament Game

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 11, 2026 , 02:45 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's prediction: Mississippi's defense gives up too many threes.

NCAAB

Match starts: 2 hrs
MISS
28 %
TEX
72 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jordan Pope o2.5  3 Point FG (+105) Jordan Pope o2.5 3 Point FG (+105)
Read Analysis
Jordan Pope Texas Longhorns college basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jordan Pope rises to shoot against Texas A&M last month.

The Mississippi Rebels’ defense has been broken all season, and the Texas Longhorns should be the final team to take advantage of that.

My Mississippi vs. Texas predictions and these college basketball picks know the Rebels give up too many looks from deep, a weakness in the first round of the SEC Tournament on Wednesday, March 11.

Texas vs Mississippi prediction

Texas vs Mississippi best bet

Texas vs Mississippi best bet: Jordan Pope Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+105)

Of the Mississippi Rebels’ many flaws, giving up looks from deep more often than anyone else in the SEC has been one of the most ruinous. Opponents take 44.2% of their shots from deep against Mississippi, which should set up Texas Longhorns’ shooter Jordan Pope for success tonight.

Texas, as a whole, does not chuck from deep all that often, but Pope does, attempting nearly six 3-pointers per game in SEC play and making 35.8% of them.

Pope has hit at least three 3-pointers in three of his last six games. Tonight’s opportunities should make that four of seven.

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Texas vs Mississippi same-game parlay

Neither team should be much trusted against the spread, but it is worth noting that the Longhorns beat the Rebels by 11 about a month ago, as 9.5-point favorites, despite shooting just 5-of-16 from deep and coughing up the ball twice more than Mississippi did. Improving on the simplest things should propel Texas to an easy win today.

Texas vs Mississippi SGP

  • Jordan Pope Over 2.5 threes
  • Jordan Pope Over 14.5 points
  • Texas -6

Our beyond the arc SGP: Deep in the heart of Texas

Further doubt in Mississippi’s 3-point defense can be found when realizing Texas veteran Tramon Mark has hit multiple 3-pointers in three of his last four games.

Texas vs Mississippi SGP

  • Jordan Pope Over 2.5 threes
  • Jordan Pope Over 14.5 points
  • Tramon Mark Over 1.5 threes
  • Texas -6
  • Over 146

Texas vs Mississippi odds

  • Spread: Texas -6 | Mississippi +6
  • Moneyline: Texas -260 | Mississippi +210
  • Over/Under: Over 144.5 | Under 144.6

Texas vs Mississippi betting trend to know

Not only have 19 of Texas’s 30 games gone Over their totals, but so have 20 of Mississippi’s 30 games, as well. Find more college basketball betting trends for Texas vs. Mississippi.

How to watch Texas vs Mississippi

Location Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Date Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV SEC Network

Texas vs Mississippi key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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