Providence vs Xavier Odds, Picks and Predictions: Friars Give Musketeers Run For Their Money

Providence comes into Cincinnati as the underdog, but the Friars have proven to be a great team to back against the spread this season. With that in mind, our college basketball picks will be banking on the visitors to keep things close.

Last Updated: Feb 1, 2023 9:34 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Bryce Hopkins Providence Friars NCAAB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Providence Friars and Xavier Musketeers meet up in a Big East Conference battle at Cintas Center in Cincinnati.

The Friars have picked up three consecutive wins and covers since an 83-75 setback at Marquette on January 18, while the Under has cashed in three in a row, too.

The Musketeers have been spinning their wheels lately, winning just twice in the past four games, while going 1-3 ATS during the span.

This is the first of two regular-season meetings, with the teams scheduled to meet in Rhode Island on March 1.

Can the Friars stay hot on the road, or will the Musketeers get untracked at home? We’ll discuss in our college basketball picks and predictions for Providence vs. Xavier on Wednesday, February 1.

Providence vs Xavier best odds

Providence vs Xavier picks and predictions

The Friars have been tremendous offensively, going for 78.4 ppg to rank No. 39 in the nation. While Providence is a good shooting team — hitting 47.2% from the field — it has struggled from behind the arc at just 33.9%.

It closed out the month of January on a roll, winning three in a row, while also going 3-0 ATS. The Friars have roared back into the Top 20 in the rankings, and they’re in good shape as far as postseason aspirations. However, another Quad 1 win at Xavier would really enhance their resume.

The Musketeers are also in the Top 20 of the rankings, but Xavier is in danger of sliding a little bit. It has won just twice in the past four games overall, while going just 1-3 ATS.

However, Xavier’s issues have been mostly on the road, as the Musketeers have won eight in a row at the Cintas Center, while going 5-3 ATS. The Over is 5-2-1 during that eight-game stretch, too.

The Friars enter this game as the hotter team, and it should not only be able to cover the number, but an outright win for Providence wouldn’t be shocking, either.

My best bet: Providence +4 (-110 at BetRivers)

Best college basketball bonuses

Looking to do some college basketball betting? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:

A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet up to $3,000! Sign Up Now

B) Get a profit boost (up to 100%) on any college basketball parlay at DraftKings! Opt-in Now

*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Providence vs Xavier spread analysis

The Friars have ended up covering 12 of the past 14 games overall while going 6-1 ATS in the past seven games on the road. 

In addition, Providence has cashed in six of the past eight games against teams with a winning record. The Friars are stacking covers, going 9-2 ATS in the past 11 games following a cover while going 19-7 ATS in the past 26 after a straight-up win.

Providence hasn't been an underdog since catching 7.5 points from Marquette on January 18, the team’s most recent loss. However, prior to that, it had covered five in a row as an underdog, while winning four of those games outright.

The Musketeers have also risen to the occasion against good teams, going 6-1 ATS in the past seven against winning teams. But, again, Providence has owned the series, going 7-3 ATS across the past 10 in the series, and the underdog is 8-3 ATS across the past 11 meetings.

Xavier has failed to cover the past two games as a favorite, including the most recent time on its home floor on January 21 against Georgetown. The Musketeers are also just 3-3 ATS in the past six on their home floor, too.

Providence vs Xavier Over/Under analysis

The Friars have been tremendously consistent on offense, although they can be a little bit of a pain in the backside for Over bettors when it comes to the free-throw line — shooting just 73.9% from the charity stripe.

Defensively, Providence is just so-so, allowing 68.2 ppg, and it has allowed teams to hit from behind the arc at a 32.2% pace, which is rather middling nationally.

The Musketeers have been amazing offensively, racking up 83.2 ppg to rank No. 8 in the nation, and they’re also tops in the Big East conference with a 50.2% field-goal percentage, and 39.8% percentage from behind the 3-point line. While it leaves a lot to be desired from the charity stripe — hitting just 72.9% — the offense makes up for the shortcomings from the free-throw line.

At the other end of the floor, Xavier has allowed 75.9 ppg, which is No. 330 in the country.

Providence vs Xavier betting trend to know

The Friars have cashed in 12 of the past 14 games overall, and the underdog has cashed in eight of the past 11 meetings in this series, which points squarely to Providence as the pick here. Find more college basketball betting trends for Providence vs. Xavier.

Providence vs Xavier game info

Location: Cintas Center, Cincinnati, OH
Date: Wednesday, February 1, 2023
Tip-off: 6:30 p.m. ET

Providence vs Xavier key injuries

Pages related to this topic

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo