2026 NCAA Tournament West Region Odds, Picks and Predictions

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 17, 2026 , 05:28 PM ET • 4 min read

The West Region belongs to Arizona, but a path through Purdue and Gonzaga won’t be easy. Can the Wildcats end their Final Four drought in San Jose? Get the latest odds, expert Cinderella picks, and regional betting trends before Thursday's tip.

AJ Dybantsa.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. BYU Cougars star AJ Dybantsa.

Fans attending this year's NCAA men's basketball West Region games will appreciate that two of the top teams in the region are geographically friendly.

The top-seeded Arizona Wildcats and No. 3 Gonzaga Bulldogs should both see plenty of fan support in what is one of the most intriguing quadrants in this year's tournament.

Purdue, Arkansas and Wisconsin all feature region-winning roster potential, while BYU hosts the nation's leading scorer and might also make some noise.

Here's a breakdown of the March Madness West Region:

Odds to win the West Region

Team bet365 Covers' Take
Arizona (1) Arizona Wildcats -135 Top-5 efficiency on both ends
Purdue (2) Purdue Boilermakers +400 Smith’s 9.0 APG fuels offense
Gonzaga (3) Gonzaga Bulldogs +675 Nation-best 51% field goal shooting
Arkansas (4) Arkansas Razorbacks +1000 Acuff Jr. enters as SEC POY
Wisconsin (5) Wisconsin Badgers +1600 Top-10 nationally in made threes
BYU (6) Brigham Young Cougars +4500 Dybantsa leads nation in scoring
Miami (7) Miami Hurricanes +4000 High-scoring backcourt handles the tempo
Villanova (8) Villanova Wildcats +10000 Defensive stoppers keying late-season surge
Utah State (9) Utah State Aggies +8000 Efficient scorers with Mountain West pedigree
Missouri (10) Missouri Tigers +12500 High-pressure defense forces constant turnovers
Texas (11) Texas Longhorns* +10000 Big 12 battle-tested; dangerous underdog
NC State (11) NC State Wolfpack* +10000 Wade’s Wolfpack hitting 39% from deep
High Point(12) High Point Panthers +40000 Nation’s top scoring margin (+19.7)
Hawaii (13) Hawaii Rainbows +40000 Island shooters heating up late
Kennesaw State (14) Kennesaw State Owls +40000 High-octane attack (83.4 PPG) leads CUSA
Queens (15) Queens Royals +40000 Prolific offense averaging 85 PPG
LIU(16) Long Island Sharks +40000 Sharks hunt historic Round 1 upset

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West Region Favorite: Arizona Wildcats

The Wildcats come into the tournament as the No. 2 team in the latest college basketball rankings, and for good reason. Arizona cruised to a 32-2 SU record (20-14 ATS, 17-17 O/U) and recorded the fourth-highest average margin of victory in the nation (+17.4).

  • The Path: After what should be an easy time against the LIU Sharks, Arizona will face either Villanova or Utah State, neither of whom should threaten the top seeds.
  • The Concern: The Wildcats have few flaws – but their aversion to 3-point shooting (358th in attempts) could be a big one as they get deeper in the tourney.

West Region Cinderella: High Point Panthers

The Panthers are on a high (sorry), coming into the tournament having won 14 consecutive games. And while they'll be in tough against the battle-tested Badgers, High Point is well-positioned to keep everyone's favorite 12-vs-5 first-round trend alive in 2026.

  • The Matchup: No. 5 Wisconsin (-10) vs. No. 12 High Point
  • The X-Factor: High Point ranks inside the top 50 nationally in effective field goal percentage at nearly 55%, while Wisconsin is 179th in the country in eFG% allowed (51.2%). The Panthers are also a top-10 team in terms of free throw makes and attempts; if this one becomes a foul line parade, the upset is very much in play.
Covers COVERS INTEL: High Point's +7.1 average turnover margin is second in the country, behind only McNeese (+7.3).

West Region Schedule

Thursday, March 19

No. 5 Wisconsin vs. No. 12 High Point, 1:50 p.m.

No. 4 Arkansas vs. No. 13 Hawaii, 4:25 p.m.

No. 6 Brigham Young vs. No. 11 Texas/North Carolina State, 7:25 p.m.

No. 3 Gonzaga vs. No. 14 Kennesaw State, 10 p.m.

Friday, March 20

No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 16 Long Island, 1:35 p.m.

No. 8 Villanova vs. No. 9 Utah State, 4:10 p.m.

No. 2 Purdue vs. No. 15 Queens, 7:35 p.m.

No. 7 Miami (Fla.) vs. No. 10 Missouri, 10:10 p.m.

3 West Region futures to bet now

Arkansas to Make the Sweet Sixteen (-135 at bet365): As much as I would like to see High Point make a run, I don't see the Panthers getting past Arkansas even if they do upset Wisconsin. The Razorbacks are a phenomenal offensive team (No. 2 in points per game) but also don't turn the ball over, losing possession on just 10.7% of the time (lowest in the nation). March Madness rewards this sort of behavior, which is why I'm all over this bet.

Purdue to Make the Elite Eight (+105 at bet365): My man Jon Metler is leaning all the way into the Boilermakers, taking them to win the national championship (despite his better judgment, apparently.) I'm not that crazy bold, but I do question why they're plus money to reach Round 4. This team is super careful with the ball, distributes it as well as anyone in the nation, and can shoot the lights out. Just ask Dan Hurley.

Arizona to Win the West Region (-135 at bet365): Purdue's good – but Arizona is just so much better. Ninth in shooting percentage. Fifth in field-goal success rate against. First in defensive rebounds. Tenth in free throw attempts per game. Any way you slice it, the Wildcats are one of the most dangerously versatile teams in this tournament. And sure, that makes this outright Final Four play a bit dull, but sometimes (most times, actually), the safest play is also the correct one.

West Region history and betting trends

  • The pre-tournament betting favorite has won the West Region just once in the previous four years.
  • No team with longer than +1000 odds has prevailed in the West since Wichita State, which won as a +6600 longshot in 2013.
  • Villanova is the only West Region team that has won more than one national championship.

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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