LSU vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Ponnaiya's prediction: Thomas Haugh is set to light up the Tigers from deep.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jan 20, 2026 • 12:41 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 4 hrs
FLA
40 %
LSU
60 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Thomas Haugh o1.5  3 Point FG FT (-120) Thomas Haugh o1.5 3 Point FG FT (-120)
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Thomas Haugh Florida Gators NCAAB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Florida Gators forward Thomas Haugh (10) celebrates after making a 3-pointer.

The No. 16 Florida Gators host the LSU Tigers in NCAA action tonight.

The Gators have been an offensive powerhouse, and my LSU vs. Florida picks are backing leading scorer Thomas Haugh to light it up from long range.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this SEC clash on Tuesday, January 20.

LSU vs Florida prediction

LSU vs Florida best bet: Thomas Haugh Over 1.5 threes (-120)

Florida sits 11th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, with forward Thomas Haugh leading the charge at 17.4 points per game.

While many of his teammates have struggled with their outside shot, Haugh has been Florida's most reliable perimeter shooter. He has knocked down more than 1.5 threes in eight of his last 11 games and is shooting 37.5% from deep over that span. 

LSU has had major issues defending the perimeter and continues to get burned from downtown, ranking 297th nationally in opponent 3PT% (37.2%) since the start of December.

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LSU vs Florida same-game parlay

The Gators have topped 90 points in four straight matchups, including three wins over ranked opponents during that stretch. While Florida struggled with turnovers earlier in the season, those issues appear to be resolved, as the Gators rank 32nd nationally in turnover rate since the start of the new year.

With the Tigers sitting outside the top 300 in turnover rate, don’t expect them to pressure Florida’s ball-handlers into mistakes, which should help the Gators eclipse their team total.

With another offensive explosion expected from Thomas Haugh and Florida, the Over 3.5 assists for guard Boogie Fland is also appealing. Fland has recorded four or more dimes in five of his last six contests.

LSU vs Florida SGP

  • Thomas Haugh Over 1.5 threes
  • Florida team total Over 86.5
  • Boogie Fland Over 3.5 assists

Our beyond the arc SGP: Mr. Glass

Rueben Chinyelu has pulled down double-digit rebounds in 12 of his last 16 starts, averaging 11.4 rpg over that span.

LSU guard Max Mackinnon has eclipsed 1.5 threes in 11 of his last 12 games and is shooting a sizzling 42.7% from the arc over that stretch. He should have success from downtown against Florida, which ranks 169th in opponent 3PT% (33.6%).

LSU vs Florida SGP

  • Thomas Haugh Over 1.5 threes
  • Florida team total Over 86.5
  • Boogie Fland Over 3.5 assists
  • Rueben Chinyelu Over 9.5 rebounds
  • Mackinnon Over 1.5 threes

LSU vs Florida odds

  • Spread: LSU +16 (-110) | Florida -16 (-110)
  • Moneyline: LSU +950 | Florida -1700
  • Over/Under: Over 157.5 (-110) | Under 157.5 (-110)

LSU vs Florida betting trend to know

The Gators are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games. Find more college basketball betting trends for LSU vs. Florida.

How to watch LSU vs Florida

Location Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL
Date Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

LSU vs Florida key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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