Duke vs North Carolina Picks: Rivalry Renewed

Caleb Love shredded Duke for 25 points and 7 assists when these teams last met, and with both a rivalry and March Madness berth on the line, UNC should bring its A-game.

Last Updated: Mar 6, 2021 9:17 AM ET
Caleb Love UNC Tar Heels college basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Duke-North Carolina rivalry is arguably the best in all of sports, and the Blue Devils will face the Tar Heels at the Dean Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina on Saturday, March 6. The game will tip at 6:00 p.m. ET and will be quite different than previous meetings between these teams, as neither one of these programs is an NCAA Tournament lock at the moment. 

Who will win when these rivals clash tonight? Find out with our Duke vs. North Carolina picks and predictions. 

Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels betting preview


Duke: No injuries to report. 
North Carolina: F Sterling Manley (questionable), F Puff Johnson (questionable) .

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

North Carolina is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following an ATS loss. Find more NCAA betting trends for Duke vs. North Carolina.

Covers Writer Icon

NCAAB sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

PointsBet USA has North Carolina up to -3 shortly before tipoff, after opening the Tar Heels -2.5 Friday night. However, the road 'dog is getting attention. "Fifty-eight percent of bets and 67 percent of handle on Duke," PointsBet's Wyatt Yearout said. The total jumped from 147.5 to 150.5, with 62 percent of bets/74 percent of cash on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Duke and North Carolina faced one another on February 6, when the Tar Heels earned a 91-87 victory over the Blue Devils. Duke NBA prospect Jalen Johnson had a solid outing, posting 14 points and also adding five assists, five rebounds, a block and a steal. However, Johnson has since left the program, and many believe that the Blue Devils have played better team basketball since his departure. But losing that type of talent is no small thing, and it’s hard to imagine that his presence would have hurt Duke in a matchup with North Carolina. 

This time around, the teams have some different motivations. While this rivalry is one of the best in all of sports, Duke is just 11-10 and doesn’t look like it’s heading to the NCAA Tournament. On the other hand, North Carolina is 15-9 and a couple of wins over the next week or so could earn the Tar Heels a spot. Duke would definitely like to spoil the season for North Carolina, but there’s no denying that this Blue Devils team is a bit deflated at the moment. That means a lot when factoring in that the Tar Heels have everything to play for. 

Two players to keep an eye on in this game are Caleb Love and Kerwin Walton. The two of them combined to score 37 in the last meeting between these teams, and North Carolina’s backcourt should once again be able to take advantage of a lousy Duke defense. 

PREDICTION: North Carolina -2.5 (-110)

Over/Under Pick

While Duke has been rather disappointing this season, the team is capable of scoring the basketball. The Blue Devils are 14th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency this season (all efficiency stats according to KenPom.com) and they had no trouble finding the hoop in the last meeting with this excellent Tar Heels defense. 

Meanwhile, while North Carolina isn’t great offensively, the team did have its way with Duke’s 99th-ranked adjusted defense. This game might not reach the 178 points the two teams combined to score last game, but the Over definitely looks like the right play. 

PREDICTION: Over 148.0 (-110) 

Duke vs North Carolina betting card

  • North Carolina -2.5 (-110)
  • Over 148.0 (-110) 
NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Duke vs. North Carolina picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college basketball?

You can bet on college basketball odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of prop odds. Head over to our best sportsbooks for college basketball betting in your area.

Pages related to this topic

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo