Creighton vs St. John's Odds, Picks and Predictions: Expect a Low-Scoring Affair on Sunday

Red Storm now and then. Read more as Phil Naessens provides his handicap when the Johnnies play host to the Bluejays at MSG in our Creighton vs. St. John's betting picks.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Feb 24, 2024 • 19:22 ET • 4 min read
Ryan Kalkbrenner Creighton Bluejays NCAAB
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St. John's has a battle on its hands Sunday afternoon when the No. 15 ranked Creighton Bluejays roll into town for an important Big East tilt.

Creighton is rolling and hoping to continue a four-game winning streak, while St. John’s ended a three-game losing skid with a huge away victory over Georgetown.

Join me as I look closer at the college basketball odds with our free college basketball picks and predictions for Creighton vs. St. John’s on February 25.

Creighton vs St. John's best odds

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Creighton vs St. John's picks and predictions

Last week, following their six-point home loss to Seton Hall, St. John’s Red Storm head coach Rick Pitino shredded his Johnnie’s in his post-game presser, essentially saying his players were nice kids, but they “couldn’t guard anyone.”

The Red Storm responded with a 90-85 away victory over Georgetown, but now they face a much stiffer test Sunday against a red-hot Creighton Blue Jays program riding a comfortable four-game winning streak, including a 19-point home victory over No. 1 UConn.

Creighton has played terrific basketball recently; its four-game winning streak was a direct response to a pair of losses by a combined five points, and the Bluejays should’ve won both of those games. They didn’t close out either contest but learned their lessons well and have won their last three by a minimum +19 winning margin.

That’s quite a turnaround for a Bluejays program that have allowed fewer than 72 points in each of their last four, and it will be their defense that helps keep this game cash the game total Under.

The Bluejays' defense is stifling; they are a Top 15 defense inside the arc, above average at closing out the 3-point circle, and top the Big East in offensive rebounding percentage allowed. They pester shooters, box out, and, as a result, allow an average of 69.1 points per game.

The Johnnies offense will struggle in the Garden against the Bluejays. St. John’s isn’t a good shooting team from anywhere on the floor and is mediocre from the charity stripe, but it benefits from strong offensive rebounding and 14.3 points scored from turnovers, and those two strengths could get nullified by the strong glass play and careful Creighton ballhandlers on Sunday.

Playing in the Garden is a dream come true for most hoopers, and the neutral court feel of this game could produce some early nerves. The Bluejays' defense is stifling, and the Johnnies play tough ball against nationally ranked opponents, with an Over/Under record of 1-4-0 to the Under against nationally ranked foes. 

Expect Creighton to be sluggish offensively to start this one, and this Big East tilt ends below the listed total of 152.5.

My best bet: Under 152.5 (-105 at FanDuel)

Creighton vs St. John's same-game parlay

Under 152.5

Creighton -2.5

St. John’s is just 2-8-0 against the spread over its previous 10 games and 1-4-0 to the Under in its last five matchups.

Meanwhile, Creighton is on a roll and has covered the number in four of its last five. Additionally, the Bluejays are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 away matchups.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Creighton vs St. John's spread and Over/Under analysis

Creighton has been rolling, as the Bluejays have won four straight and successfully covered in seven of their last 10 road games.

While the Red Storm covered as +6.5 away underdogs in their last meeting with the Bluejays, St. John’s has been a disaster against the spread. The Red Storm are just 1-6-0 ATS over their last seven and are 4-5-0 ATS as the underdog.

There’s also value in Creighton winning this one straight-up, and the -137 FanDuel offers is the best price by far. The Bluejays are 7-3 this season as the away team and are now meeting a St. John's side that is just 2-3 at home over their last five tilts.

Creighton vs St. John's betting trend to know

St. John's has hit the game total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Creighton vs. St. John's.

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Creighton vs St. John's game info

Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Date: Sunday, February 25, 2024
Tip-off: 12:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Creighton vs St. John's key injuries

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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