Our NBA player prop projections are locked in for tonight’s Game 2 showdown between the Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs, with the model highlighting several high-value spots across the board.
By breaking down the data and comparing it to current market lines, we’ve pinpointed where the strongest edges appear.
These Trail Blazers vs. Spurs predictions aren’t based on narrative or intuition; they’re driven by the numbers.
If you’re building out your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Tuesday, April 21.
Trail Blazers vs Spurs computer picks for Game 2
 Trail Blazers |
 Spurs |
|---|---|
| Avdija u23.5 points -105 |
Wembanyama u28.5 points -105 |
| Holiday o5.5 assists -140 |
Wembanyama o11.5 rebounds -115 |
| Henderson o1.5 3-pointers +115 |
Fox o5.5 assists -120 |
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Trail Blazers Game 2 computer picks
Deni Avdija Under 23.5 points (-105)
Projection: 22.4 points
The Portland Trail Blazers have struggled offensively on the road, ranking as the fourth-lowest scoring team in the league over their last 25 away games.
Over their last five road contests, opposing starting power forwards have managed just 13.0 points per game against the San Antonio Spurs—the fourth-lowest mark in the NBA. That sets up as a difficult spot for Deni Avdija to replicate the offensive output he delivered in Game 1.
Jrue Holiday Over 5.5 assists (-140)
Projection: 6.4 assists
Jrue Holiday has cleared the 5.5 assist line in five of his last ten games, and the path to doing it again in Game 2 against the Spurs is firmly in place.
A key factor is lineup synergy. Playing alongside high-efficiency scorers and floor spacers means Holiday doesn’t need high volume to rack up assists, just clean looks created within the flow of the offense. If those shots are falling at a reasonable rate, 6+ assists becomes a very reachable threshold.
Scoot Henderson Over 1.5 3-pointers (+115)
Projection: 1.64 3-pointers
This season, opposing starting point guards have knocked down 40.4% of their 3-point attempts against the Spurs, the fifth-highest mark allowed in the league, setting up a favorable matchup for Scoot Henderson, who has cashed the Over in seven of his last 10 games on a 1.5 made threes line.
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Spurs Game 2 computer picks
Victor Wembanyama Under 28.5 points (-120)
Projection: 28.4 points
The Spurs are likely to see fewer scoring opportunities tonight, as they match up with the Trail Blazers, who have played at the sixth-slowest pace in the league over their last five games. That slower tempo could make it tougher for Victor Wembanyama to clear his points prop in Game 2.
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Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds (-115)
Projection: 12.01 rebounds
The Spurs have been one of the stronger offensive rebounding teams in the league, ranking sixth over their last 15 games, and Wemby has been a major contributor on the glass, clearing the Over in seven of his last 10 games on an 11.5 rebound line.
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De'Aaron Fox Over 5.5 assists (-120)
Projection: 6.4 assists
De'Aaron Fox has gone over the 5.5 assist mark in five of his last 10 games, and there’s a strong case for that trend continuing against the Trail Blazers.
Fox’s playmaking often scales with defensive attention, and Portland tends to collapse on dribble penetration, especially against high-speed guards. That’s where Fox thrives.
His ability to get downhill forces help defenders to rotate, creating clean passing lanes to shooters and bigs in favorable positions. Even if he’s aggressive as a scorer early, that pressure typically opens up assist opportunities as the game progresses.
How to watch Trail Blazers vs Spurs Game 2
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Tuesday, April 21, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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