Thunder vs Suns Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for Game 3

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 25, 2026 , 08:22 AM ET • 4 min read

The Oklahoma City Thunder are heavy Game 3 favorites, and our projection model has six NBA player props for today's game.

Devin Booker Phoenix Suns NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) against the Golden State Warriors during the play-in rounds of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Mortgage Matchup Center.

The Oklahoma City Thunder seek to take a commanding 3-0 lead in their NBA Western Conference first-round series with the Phoenix Suns, and our NBA player prop projections have been hard at work.

Our model has found six NBA player props with solid edges to exploit for today’s Game 3.

Read on for our NBA picks for Saturday, April 25. 

Thunder vs Suns computer picks for Game 3

Thunder Thunder Suns Suns
Gilgeous-Alexander o1.5 made threes
-112
Booker o23.5 points
-110
Dort o7.5 points
-120
Brooks o4.5 rebounds
+115
Hartenstein o8.5 rebounds
-120
Green o19.5 points
-110

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Thunder Game 3 computer picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 Made Threes (-112) 

Projection: 1.81 made threes


Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31 points through two games, and the Oklahoma City Thunder are not asking him to hunt threes. But when he does pull up, he's capable. 

He attempted five shots in Game 2 and made two. The model sees 1.81 tonight, and he’s made at least two triples in five of his previous six contests. 

🔥 Bet Gilgeous-Alexander Now at bet365!

Lu Dort Over 7.5 Points (-120) 

Projection: 8.17 points

Lu Dort had eight points in Game 1 and nine in Game 2, hitting threes in bunches both games. The model sees 8.17, and he's been consistent enough to lean on. 

The price is a little steep at -120, but the Phoenix Suns defense hasn’t solved the Dort riddle, and he’s a good bet to score at least eight points today. 

🔥 Bet Dort Now at bet365!

Isaiah Hartenstein Over 8.5 Rebounds (-120) 

Projection: 9.41 rebounds

Isaiah Hartenstein had eight boards in Game 1 and 10 in Game 2, including six offensive rebounds in the last game alone. He's quietly one of the most active rebounders in this series. 

Like most Thunder players, he’s script-reliant, but he’s gotten 20 minutes in both NBA playoff games, and we’ll follow the data to the window. 

🔥 Bet Hartenstein Now at bet365!


Suns Game 3 computer picks

Devin Booker Over 23.5 points (-110) 

Projection: 27.79 points

Devin Booker had 23 and 22 in the first two games, so he's averaging just below this number on the series. But the model sees 27.79 tonight, and he’s playing at home.

Booker is getting to the charity stripe, and he’s shooting 48% from the field in this series. Let’s trust the data and bet his Over. 

🔥 Bet Booker Now at bet365!

Dillon Brooks Over 4.5 Rebounds (+115) 

Projection: 4.84 rebounds

Dillon Brooks has already grabbed 13 rebounds in this series. He’s been a demon on the boards, and our model expects another solid night on the boards.

He’ll likely see 35 or more minutes today, and if he doesn’t get ejected, he's a good bet to snag at least five rebounds this afternoon. 

🔥 Bet Brooks Now at bet365!

Jalen Green Over 19.5 Points (-110) 

Projection: 21.15 points

Jalen Green has scored more than 20 points in three playoff games. He’s coming off a 21-point Game 2 performance, and our model expects another big scoring night from Green.

Green’s ceiling is huge, and his floor is solid enough to back the data and play the Over on his points scored prop. 

🔥 Bet Green Now at bet365!

How to watch Thunder vs Suns Game 3

Location Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date Saturday, April 25, 2026
Tip-off 3:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC, Peacock

Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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