Thunder vs Celtics Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 25, 2026 , 02:39 PM ET • 4 min read

Scimia's prediction: With the Thunder as close to full strength as they've been in ages, the Celtics won't end their winning streak tonight.

NBA

Match starts: 3 hrs
OKC
59 %
BOS
41 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Oklahoma City -135 Oklahoma City -135
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Jalen Williams OKC Thunder NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Oklahoma City Thunder guard Jalen Williams (8) scores against the Philadelphia 76ers

TD Garden will play host to a potential NBA Finals showdown tonight as the Boston Celtics face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Oklahoma City has won 12 straight games, and my Thunder vs. Celtics predictions back them to continue that streak tonight.

Read on for more analysis of tonight’s matchup in my free NBA picks for Wednesday, March 25.

Thunder vs Celtics prediction

Thunder vs Celtics best bet: Thunder moneyline (-135)

The Oklahoma City Thunder aren’t just riding a lengthy winning streak, but they’re as healthy as ever with the return of Jalen Williams to the lineup.

The best team in the NBA and the clear title favorites are led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.5 points per game), but Williams is one of several outstanding players around SGA that have contributed to the team’s 57-15 record. Depth is Oklahoma City’s biggest strength, with 11 players averaging 7.5+ PPG on the year.

The Boston Celtics are happy to have Jayson Tatum back and will need him to make a championship run. But Tatum is shooting just 38.8% from the field since his return from injury. The Celtics are 6-2 in the eight games with Tatum active, but are averaging 113.1 points in those contests – surprisingly down a full point from their season average. 

Even when these teams have both been fully healthy over the last few years, the Thunder have had Boston’s number, winning five of the last six matchups, and going 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. 

Oklahoma City won the first game between these teams this season, albeit in a very close battle. I’m expecting another tight matchup tonight, but until I see Tatum playing like his old self again, I don’t think Boston has the weapons to match up with the Thunder for 48 minutes, even at home. I’m betting on the Thunder to pick up the win on the road tonight.

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Thunder vs Celtics same-game parlay

The Thunder have a wealth of capable scorers, and I’m counting on two to hit their targets tonight.

I like center Chet Holmgren to get Over 14.5 points tonight, something he’s done in four of his last five games. I’m also taking Jalen Williams to go Over 13.5 points after scoring 18 in his return to action on Monday.

Thunder vs Celtics SGP

  • Thunder moneyline
  • Chet Holmgren Over 14.5 points
  • Jalen Williams Over 13.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Treys cool

Boston plays outstanding defense but can be hit at the three-point line, where they allow opponents to shoot 35.7%.

Jared McCain has hit 3+ threes in four of his last five games, Holmgren hit three shots from deep in his last game, and Jaylin Williams has hit at least one shot from beyond the arc in nine of his last 10. I’m taking all three to hit the Over on their threes made totals tonight.

Thunder vs Celtics SGP

  • Thunder -2
  • Jared McCain Over 1.5 made threes
  • Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 made threes
  • Jaylin Williams Over 0.5 made threes

Thunder vs Celtics odds

  • Spread: Thunder -2 (-110) | Celtics +2 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Thunder -135 | Celtics +115
  • Over/Under: Over 218.5 (-110) | Under 218.5 (-110)

Thunder vs Celtics betting trend to know

The Thunder have won 12 straight games. Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Celtics.

How to watch Thunder vs Celtics

Location TD Garden, Boston, MA
Date Wednesday, March 25, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV FDSN-OK, NBCSB

Thunder vs Celtics latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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