TD Garden will play host to a potential NBA Finals showdown tonight as the Boston Celtics face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Oklahoma City has won 12 straight games, and my Thunder vs. Celtics predictions back them to continue that streak tonight.
Read on for more analysis of tonight’s matchup in my free NBA picks for Wednesday, March 25.
Thunder vs Celtics prediction
Thunder vs Celtics best bet: Thunder moneyline (-135)
The Oklahoma City Thunder aren’t just riding a lengthy winning streak, but they’re as healthy as ever with the return of Jalen Williams to the lineup.
The best team in the NBA and the clear title favorites are led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.5 points per game), but Williams is one of several outstanding players around SGA that have contributed to the team’s 57-15 record. Depth is Oklahoma City’s biggest strength, with 11 players averaging 7.5+ PPG on the year.
The Boston Celtics are happy to have Jayson Tatum back and will need him to make a championship run. But Tatum is shooting just 38.8% from the field since his return from injury. The Celtics are 6-2 in the eight games with Tatum active, but are averaging 113.1 points in those contests – surprisingly down a full point from their season average.
Even when these teams have both been fully healthy over the last few years, the Thunder have had Boston’s number, winning five of the last six matchups, and going 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 meetings.
Oklahoma City won the first game between these teams this season, albeit in a very close battle. I’m expecting another tight matchup tonight, but until I see Tatum playing like his old self again, I don’t think Boston has the weapons to match up with the Thunder for 48 minutes, even at home. I’m betting on the Thunder to pick up the win on the road tonight.
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Thunder vs Celtics same-game parlay
The Thunder have a wealth of capable scorers, and I’m counting on two to hit their targets tonight.
I like center Chet Holmgren to get Over 14.5 points tonight, something he’s done in four of his last five games. I’m also taking Jalen Williams to go Over 13.5 points after scoring 18 in his return to action on Monday.
Thunder vs Celtics SGP
- Thunder moneyline
- Chet Holmgren Over 14.5 points
- Jalen Williams Over 13.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Treys cool
Boston plays outstanding defense but can be hit at the three-point line, where they allow opponents to shoot 35.7%.
Jared McCain has hit 3+ threes in four of his last five games, Holmgren hit three shots from deep in his last game, and Jaylin Williams has hit at least one shot from beyond the arc in nine of his last 10. I’m taking all three to hit the Over on their threes made totals tonight.
Thunder vs Celtics SGP
- Thunder -2
- Jared McCain Over 1.5 made threes
- Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 made threes
- Jaylin Williams Over 0.5 made threes
Thunder vs Celtics odds
- Spread: Thunder -2 (-110) | Celtics +2 (-110)
- Moneyline: Thunder -135 | Celtics +115
- Over/Under: Over 218.5 (-110) | Under 218.5 (-110)
Thunder vs Celtics betting trend to know
The Thunder have won 12 straight games. Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Celtics.
How to watch Thunder vs Celtics
| Location | TD Garden, Boston, MA |
| Date | Wednesday, March 25, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN-OK, NBCSB |
Thunder vs Celtics latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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