Our NBA player prop projections are fired up for Game 3 of the NBA Western Conference First Round playoff matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and Portland Trail Blazers.
The data is incredibly high in some markets, and we've identified the very best edges against the odds on the board to uncover hidden value.
Read on for our NBA picks for Friday, April 24.
Spurs vs Trail Blazers computer picks for Game 3
 Spurs |
 Trail Blazers |
|---|---|
| Castle u19.5 points -112 |
Camara o10.5 points -120 |
| Vassell u14.5 points -112 |
Henderson o2.5 rebounds +100 |
| De'Aaron Fox u19.5 points -120 |
Holiday o16.5 points -112 |
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Spurs Game 3 computer picks
Stephon Castle Under 19.5 points (-112)
Projection: 16.9 points
Stephon Castle is a developing scorer who still relies heavily on Victor Wembanyama drawing attention in the paint. Without Wembanyama, Portland can key in on Castle and limit his driving lanes.
At 16.9 points projected, the gap between that number and 19.5 is hard to ignore, which is why we are following our model and playing the Under.
Devin Vassell Under 14.5 points (-112)
Projection: 13.38 points
Devin Vassell is an efficient off-ball scorer, but his production is closely tied to the San Antonio Spurs' offensive flow. With De'Aaron Fox set to dominate usage in Wemby's absence, Vassell's shot volume takes a hit.
Projected at 13.38 points and available at a reasonable price, the Under 14.5 is exactly the kind of line you want to attack.
De'Aaron Fox Under 19.5 points (-120)
Projection: 17.69 points
De'Aaron Fox needs Wembanyama to be gone or severely limited to clear his points total. With Wemby now looking like he might play tonight, Fox likely won't score 20 points as he's failed to do so in three of his last five games with the big fella on the floor.
Expect the Spurs point guard to take a back seat to Wembanyama, and go Under his points total.
Trail Blazers Game 3 computer picks
Toumani Camara Over 10.5 points (-120)
Projection: 12.16 points
Toumani Camara is a relentless cutter and transition threat for the Portland Trail Blazers, who doesn't need the ball in his hands to produce. With San Antonio's defense possibly missing its anchor, Camara has room to operate.
Projected at 12.16 points with a 22% edge over the line, this is one of the cleaner Overs on the board tonight.
Scoot Henderson Over 2.5 rebounds (+100)
Projection: 3.1 rebounds
Scoot Henderson is more than a playmaker. He crashes the glass with purpose and competes for boards on both ends. Projected at 3.2 rebounds, the 2.5 line is set low enough to exploit, and you're getting plus money to do it.
Henderson has the motor and the minutes to clear this with room to spare, and he's done so in two of his previous three games.
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Jrue Holiday Over 16.5 points (-112)
Projection: 18.13 points
Jrue Holiday is a proven playoff performer who elevates when the stakes are highest. Holiday is going to see heavy usage tonight as the Trail Blazers primary ball-handler and shot creator.
He's topped this number in three of his previous five games, and at 18.13 projected points, the Over here is backed by the data.
How to watch Spurs vs Trail Blazers Game 3
| Location | Moda Center, Portland, OR |
| Date | Friday, April 24, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Not intended for use in MA.
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