Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's NBA Playoffs Game 4

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: May 10, 2026 , 04:35 PM ET • 4 min read

Hanshew's prediction: Anthony Edwards leads the way as the Timberwolves draw even with the Spurs.

NBA

Match starts: 1 hrs
SA
50 %
MIN
50 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Anthony Edwards o31.5  Points and Rebounds (-105) Anthony Edwards o31.5 Points and Rebounds (-105)
Read Analysis
Anthony Edwards Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards (5) celebrates after making a 3-point shot as time expires in the first quarter against the San Antonio Spurs

The shackles are off Minnesota Timberwolves star Anthony Edwards, as he looks to make things interesting against the San Antonio Spurs.

My Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions anticipate a huge game from Ant as Minnesota draws even in this series.

Read on for my full NBA picks on Sunday, May 10.

  •  
  • UPDATE: Added a prediction for who will win the game.
  •  
 

Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4 prediction today

Who will win Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4?

Timberwolves: The Minnesota Timberwolves were undefeated at home in this postseason before Friday’s loss, and they can get back on track with another healthy game from Anthony Edwards and a little bit more from fellow starters.

Edwards was dominant in his first start of the series, but Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels finished with a combined 29 points on 8 of 34 shooting. Expect both of them to get back on track in Game 4 and for Edwards to stay in his groove in a pivotal contest.

Spurs vs Timberwolves best bet: Anthony Edwards Over 31.5 points+rebounds (-105)

Anthony Edwards came off the bench in Games 1 and 2 and totaled 30 points and six rebounds in 49 total minutes. He started Game 3 and eclipsed those totals with 32 points and 14 rebounds in 41 minutes.

He’s logged 30+ minutes in just three playoff games this postseason, but he delivered 32+ points+rebounds in two of them and went for exactly 31 in the other.

Ant-Man has started four games against the San Antonio Spurs this season, and he hit the Over on this combo line three times while averaging 41.3 points+rebounds.

Through the regular season and playoffs, he’s averaged 33.7 points+rebounds and gone for 32+ in 43 of 68 appearances.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Anthony Edwards’ season highs in points (55) and rebounds (14) both came against the Spurs.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4 same-game parlay

The Timberwolves have covered the spread in four of their last five home games, and the team nearly covered the 5.5-point spread despite awful shooting performances from Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels. 

With Edwards off his minutes restriction, I expect him to do everything he can to will his team to victory with the necessary support from his teammates.

Improved shooting from two starters means more scoring for Minnesota, and the point total is set far too low for Game 4. These teams have hit the Game Total Over in two straight and four of six head-to-head matchups this season.

Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Anthony Edwards Over 31.5 points + rebounds
  • Timberwolves +4.5
  • Over 217

Our "from downtown" SGP: Wolves Like Me

The Timberwolves went into halftime of Game 3 tied, then San Antonio went on a third-quarter run and stayed ahead late. Minnesota has the personnel to hang with the Spurs, and the Wolves are battle-tested after some deep, recent playoff runs.
With Edwards off of his minutes restriction, Minnesota can get a win if Ant-Man’s teammates step up.

Jaden McDaniels is averaging 16.9 points per game in the playoffs, and he’s scored 16+ in five of nine postseason appearances. He scored 17 in Game 3 on 5-of-22 shooting, but he shot better than 50% in eight games prior.

Julius Randle scored just 12 points in Games 2 and 3 after dropping 21 in Game 1. He’s averaged 17.8 points per game in the playoffs and put up 18+ in four of nine games.
Randle averaged 21.1 points per game in the regular season, and I expect positive regression at home after Friday’s dud.

Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Anthony Edwards Over 31.5 points+rebounds
  • Julius Randle Over 17.5 points
  • Jaden McDaniels Over 15.5 points
  • Timberwolves moneyline

Spurs vs Timberwolves odds for Game 4

  • Spread: Spurs -4.5 | Timberwolves +4.5
  • Moneyline: Spurs -180 | Timberwolves +150
  • Over/Under: Over 217 | Under 217

Spurs vs Timberwolves betting trend to know

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS across their last five games at Target Center. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Timberwolves.

How to watch Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4

Location Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Date Sunday, May 10, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC

Spurs vs Timberwolves latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo