Our NBA player prop projections are locked and loaded for tonight's Game 2 matchup between the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers, with the model flagging several high-value opportunities.
By breaking down the data and stacking it up against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges lie.
These Rockets vs. Lakers predictions aren’t based on feel — they’re backed by the numbers.
If you’re building out your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Tuesday, April 21.
Rockets vs Lakers computer picks for Game 2
 Rockets |
 Lakers |
|---|---|
| Sengun u18.5 points -105 |
James u24.5 points -112 |
| Thompson o4.5 assists -155 |
Hachimura o1.5 threes -145 |
| Smith Jr. o6.5 rebounds +100 |
Ayton u8.5 rebounds -135 |
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Rockets Game 2 computer picks
Alperen Şengün Under 18.5 points (-105)
Projection: 18.1 points
The Houston Rockets could see a dip in scoring opportunities tonight, as they face the Los Angeles Lakers, who have played at the third-slowest pace at home over their last five games.
That sluggish tempo could limit chances for Alperen Şengün to clear his points prop in Game 2.
Amen Thompson Over 4.5 assists (-155)
Projection: 5.1 assists
Amen Thompson has gone Over his 4.5 assist line in seven of his last 10 games, and despite the matchup, there’s a clear path for him to get there again against the Lakers.
Thompson’s playmaking is heavily driven by his ability to collapse defenses with size and athleticism. At his position, he presents matchup problems — especially when he attacks downhill — which often forces the Lakers into help situations.
Jabari Smith Jr. Over 6.5 rebounds (+100)
Projection: 6.8 rebounds
The Rockets lead the league with 15.1 offensive rebounds per game this season, and Jabari Smith Jr. is in a position to take advantage on the glass by having gone Over in four of his last 10 games on a 6.5 rebound line.
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Lakers Game 2 computer picks
LeBron James Under 24.5 points (-112)
Projection: 23.6 points
This season, opposing starting power forwards have shot just 21.7% from three against the Rockets — the lowest mark in the league — creating a challenging environment for LeBron James to clear his points prop tonight.
On top of that, the Lakers could see fewer possessions overall, as Houston plays at the second-slowest pace in the league this season, which could limit scoring volume in this matchup.
Rui Hachimura Over 1.5 threes (-145)
Projection: 2.1 3-pointers
The Lakers have been the league’s most efficient three-point shooting team over their last five games, and that hot perimeter form sets up a favorable shooting environment in this matchup against the Rockets.
When Houston is on the road, opposing starting small forwards have averaged 2.4 made threes per game—the third-highest mark in the NBA this season—creating a strong spot for Rui Hachimura to stay active from beyond the arc and potentially clear his Over.
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Deandre Ayton Under 8.5 rebounds (-135)
Projection: 7.4 rebounds
The Lakers have struggled on the offensive glass at home, ranking last in offensive rebounding over their previous 20 games, which has limited second-chance opportunities and, in turn, impacted Deandre Ayton’s production on the boards.
That trend aligns with his recent form as well, with Ayton finishing Under his 8.5 rebound line in seven of his last ten games.
How to watch Trail Blazers vs Spurs Game 2
| Location | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Tuesday, April 21, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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