Our NBA player prop projections are locked in for tonight’s clash between the Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns, with the model highlighting several standout opportunities.
After digging into the data and lining it up against current market prices, we’ve identified the bets with the strongest value.
These Nuggets vs. Suns predictions aren’t based on feel — they’re backed by the numbers.
If you’re putting together your card, these are the model’s top NBA picks for Tuesday, March 24.
Nuggets vs Suns computer picks for March 24
 Nuggets |
 Suns |
|---|---|
| Murray o23.5 points -115 |
Booker o25.5 points -115 |
| Jokic o13.5 rebounds -110 |
Gillespie u4.5 assists -140 |
| Hardaway Jr. u2.5 3-pointers -150 |
Ighodaro o6.5 rebounds -130 |
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Nuggets computer picks
Jamal Murray Over 23.5 points (-115)
Projection: 23.8 points
From an offensive standpoint, the Denver Nuggets lead the league with an impressive 120.8 points per game this season.
This matchup against the Phoenix Suns sets up favorably, as they’ve allowed a league-high 29.2 points per game to opposing starting point guards over their last five contests.
That trend creates a strong opportunity for Jamal Murray to clear his 23.5-point line, especially after going Over in four of his last 10 games.
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Nikola Jokic Over 13.5 rebounds (-110)
Projection: 13.7 rebounds
The Nuggets have pushed the fastest pace in the league over their last 10 road games, and Nikola Jokić continues to pile up rebounds with ease, clearing the 13.5 line in five of his last 10 outings.
Expect him to get Over that number again tonight.
Tim Hardaway Jr. Under 2.5 3-pointers (-150)
Projection: 2.3 3-pointers
Tim Hardaway Jr. has gone Under his 2.5 three-pointers line in six of his last 10 games, and this matchup suggests that trend is likely to continue against the Suns.
Against Phoenix, that concern is amplified. The Suns have done a solid job of running shooters off the line and forcing opposing wings into mid-range looks or drives into traffic.
With defenders closing out aggressively on the perimeter, Hardaway may struggle to find clean catch-and-shoot opportunities, which is usually his bread and butter.
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Suns computer picks
Devin Booker Over 25.5 points (-115)
Projection: 26.3 points
Devin Booker has averaged 29.8 points Over his last 10 games, about 5.4 more than his season-long average.
With the Suns set to face the Nuggets, who’ve played at the fastest road pace in the league over that span, this matchup should create an uptick in scoring opportunities.
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Collin Gillespie Under 4.5 assists (-140)
Projection: 4.4 assists
The Suns have played at the slowest home pace in the NBA over their last 20 games, which could limit playmaking opportunities for Collin Gillespie.
With that tempo working against him — and having gone Under this 4.5 assists line in four of his last 10 games — he’s at risk of falling short of the mark again.
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Oso Ighodaro Over 6.5 rebounds (-130)
Projection: 7.2 rebounds
The Suns rank as the top offensive rebounding team in the NBA over their last 10 home games, creating extra opportunities on the glass.
That sets up well for Oso Ighodaro to see an uptick in rebounds, especially after clearing the 6.5 line in three of his last 10 outings.
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How to watch Nuggets vs Suns tonight
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Tuesday, March 24, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 11:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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