The Phoenix Suns beat the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday for their 10th win in a row. The Suns are absolutely rolling right now, and they’ll get the Mavericks again tonight, who are likely to be without Luka Doncic for the second game in a row.
Will Dallas find a way to cover against Phoenix, again without its star? Keep reading our Mavericks vs. Suns picks and predictions for Friday, November 19 to find out.
Mavericks vs Suns odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The Suns were favored by 7.5 when this line first became available, and it has stayed put at that number despite a majority of bettors taking Phoenix. Perhaps it will move closer to 4 or 4.5 if Doncic ends up playing, but that doesn’t seem very likely. The total started at 212.0 and has since gone down to 211.5 on most books, but it’s also as high as 212.5.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Mavericks vs Suns predictions
Predictions made on 11/19/2021 at 8:45 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Mavericks vs Suns game info
• Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
• Date: Friday, November 19, 2021
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN, BSAZ, BSSW
Mavericks vs Suns betting preview
Injuries
Mavericks: Luka Doncic F (Doubtful), Maxi Kleber F (Out).
Suns: Dario Saric F (Out), Frank Kaminsky (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Suns are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games following a straight-up win. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Suns.
Mavericks vs Suns picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.
Spread analysis
On Wednesday, the Mavericks gave the Suns everything they could handle with Doncic sidelined, but Phoenix was still able to pull away in the end. Chris Paul and Devin Booker came up huge for the Suns down the stretch, as they alternated big plays in what was ultimately a 105-98 win. The fact that Phoenix nearly covered in a game in which Dallas played so well isn’t a great sign for the Mavericks heading into another game that Doncic is likely going to miss.
Dallas led by as many as eight points in the second half against Phoenix last game, but part of that is because the Mavericks shot 16 for 32 from the outside. With or without Luka, Dallas isn’t going to be likely to shoot that well from distance again. That’s going to be somewhat deflating for this team, as the Mavericks have to be feeling like their best wasn’t good enough just two nights ago.
The Suns will also surely get more out of Chris Paul in this game, as the Point God was just 2 for 12 from the floor and 0 for 6 from the outside on Wednesday. Paul did have 14 assists and zero turnovers in that game, but he is still capable of scoring whenever he wants. His ability to shoot mid-range jumpers is one of the best weapons in basketball, and it’s unlikely he’ll be so inefficient in back-to-back games.
Also, Deandre Ayton should be aware of what he needs to do against Kristaps Porzingis in this game. Porzingis’ minutes at the center position gave the Suns some problems last game, but Phoenix did a good job on him down the stretch.
Prediction: Suns -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
Whether or not Doncic plays in this game, the Under is just a hard bet to pass up in any contest that involves the Suns. Coming into this game, the Under has hit in each of Phoenix’s last four games. It’s also 10-4 in all of the Suns’ games this season, and it’s 7-6-1 in the Mavericks’ 14 games this year.
Phoenix’s defense has gone to another level over the course of the team’s winning streak, as the Suns have the second-best defensive rating in basketball over the last 10 games. This group is tenacious on that end of the floor, and they should be even better after having seen what the Mavericks like to run on Wednesday.
The Under has also hit in five of the last six meetings between these two teams, and is 6-3 when Phoenix is coming off a non-cover home win under Williams.
Prediction: Under 212.5 (-110)
Best bet
While Phoenix really should put this game to bed somewhat early, the Suns have struggled with blown leads against inferior opponents in the past. You just aren’t going to want to have to deal with that, as it can be infuriating watching a team not play to its potential. Instead, it’s best to bank on watching these teams play yet another low-scoring game.
On Wednesday, these two combined to score only 203 points in a game that resembled the way basketball was played 10 or so years ago. Phoenix has now gone Under the total in four straight and five of its last six. The Under is also 17-13 when Phoenix has played as a home favorite under Williams.
Pick: Under 212.5 (-110)
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