The New York Knicks are in a must-win situation tonight when they visit State Farm Arena and the Atlanta Hawks in Game 4 of their first-round Eastern Conference NBA matchup with the Atlanta Hawks.
Our Knicks vs. Hawks predictions and NBA picks are high on the Knicks beating the Hawks on Saturday, April 25.
Who will win Knicks vs Hawks Game 4?
Knicks win probability: 54% (-113)
Hawks win probability: 47% (+113)
The New York Knicks are in a must-win situation, and they'll need to find a way to beat the Atlanta Hawks on the road. The Knicks beat the Hawks in Atlanta twice during the regular season, and they are short favorites tonight with a 53% chance of victory.
Our prediction: Knicks to win
A win for New York makes this a best-of-three series with home court advantage, but a loss means the Knicks will need to win three straight. After coming up just shy in Games 2 and 3, I expect the Knicks to play with urgency and get the job done on the road before coming back to the Garden.
Read more in Zak Hanshew's full Knicks vs. Hawks predictions.
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More Knicks vs Hawks prediction markets
You're certainly not limited to the main game outcome for Knicks vs. Hawks at Kalshi; you also have options to trade on the spread, total, and more, among other NBA odds markets.
You can buy either side of a market — for example, "Yes" on the Knicks -2.5 spread means the Knicks will cover, while "No" means the Hawks will cover — with each side priced based on the implied probability (which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fraction odds using the Covers odds converter).
Knicks vs Hawks spread and total at prediction markets
| Outcome | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Knicks -2.5 | 48¢ (+108) | 53¢ (-113) |
| Over 214.5 points | 53¢ (-113) | 48¢ (+108) |
Our predictions: Knicks -2.5 — Yes and Over 214.5 points — Yes
This hasn’t been a high-scoring series, but the point totals keep creeping down, and we can find value in the Over. Three of six games between these teams have gone for at least 215 points, and two more went for 213.
Game 3 totaled 217 points despite two of New York’s starters combining for just two points. I’ll bet the Over as New York gets back on track offensively.
Other Knicks vs Hawks prediction markets available
- Dyson Daniels 10+ points (Yes: 50¢)
- Jalen Brunson 25+ points (Yes: 65¢)
- Mikal Bridges 10+ (Yes: 59¢)
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Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade "Event Contracts" which are simple Yes/No questions like "Will the Hawks win tonight?" These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.
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In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a "vig," which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your "Yes" shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.
Why should I wager on Knicks vs Hawks at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:
- Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
- Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
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- Availability: Kalshi is available in 49 states (excluding Nevada) and D.C., including many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.
