The Detroit Pistons are sending a clear message to anyone who thought they’d fall apart without Cade Cunningham, and they’ve got the Atlanta Hawks in their sights tonight at Little Caesars Arena.
While Atlanta is 9-1 in its last 10 games, the schedule has been favorable. My Hawks vs. Pistons predictions side with a Detroit team that’s won three in a row since Cade was ruled out.
Check out my NBA picks for a March 25 matchup that could yet be a first-round playoff preview.
Hawks vs Pistons prediction
Hawks vs Pistons best bet: Pistons -2.5 (-115)
The Detroit Pistons doubters have been loud at times this season, even before Cade Cunningham’s injury, but the Pistons just keep on winning.
After Monday’s impressive victory over the red-hot Lakers, they’re now 27-8 SU at home, and I’m picking Jalen Duren & Co. to cover this small spread tonight.
Detroit has won six of the past seven meetings with the Atlanta Hawks, including a 142-115 beatdown in December, and the hosts can match the Hawks’ recent surge.
Like Atlanta, the Pistons have made hay against weaker opposition, winning seven of their last eight games — six by a double-digit margin.
Of course, Cade’s absence hurts, but Daniss Jenkins continues to show he can handle big minutes, and his 30-point, eight-assist explosion was the catalyst for stunning the Lakers.
The Hawks’ loss in Houston last week may be an indicator of what happens when they face a physical defense, and the Pistons have held opponents to 110 points or fewer in seven of their last 10 contests. The visitors lean heavily on three guards in their starting five, and that could be a recipe for Duren feasting on the glass.
Sure, Atlanta is scrapping to stay above the play-in line in an increasingly tight race, but no one loves a bruising battle more than Detroit. Plus, Jalen Johnson is listed as questionable with a shoulder issue, and the Pistons can turn to Ausar Thompson for any perimeter assignment.
It may not be pretty, but this one feels like a home win.
Hawks vs Pistons same-game parlay
I like the Pistons to grab a fifth straight win tonight, and the script has to start with a monster Duren outing.
He’s finished with 11 rebounds in four of his last five games, and he hauled in four offensive boards on Monday against L.A.
Duncan Robinson’s production — even without Cade to set him up — is an important ingredient, too. He’s made 10 3-pointers across his last three contests.
Hawks vs Pistons SGP
- Pistons moneyline
- Jalen Duren Over 10.5 rebounds
- Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 3-pointers
Our "from downtown" SGP: Mr. MIP
Duren is the front-runner for the Most Improved Player award, and he’s embracing the chance to be Detroit’s lead dog. This SGP taps into his all-around production, and he’s shooting 67% from the field in March.
I'm also adding in the Over, which is 8-2 in the past 10 matchups between these teams.
Hawks vs Pistons SGP
- Jalen Duren Over 22.5 points
- Jalen Duren Over 10.5 rebounds
- Over 228.5
- Pistons moneyline
Hawks vs Pistons odds
- Spread: Hawks +2.5 | Pistons -2.5
- Moneyline: Hawks +130 | Pistons -154
- Over/Under: Over 228.5 | Under 228.5
Hawks vs Pistons betting trend to know
The Pistons are 34-11 SU against Eastern Conference opponents this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Hawks vs. Pistons.
How to watch Hawks vs Pistons
| Location | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Wednesday, March 25, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Hawks vs Pistons latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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