The NBA Finals script has officially been flipped.
The Milwaukee Bucks are kicking ass, winning three in a row against the ascendent Phoenix Suns, and the team that just last year was the butt of all non-Clippers playoff collapse jokes is suddenly one win from an NBA Championship.
We're looking at possibly the last game of the campaign (Cam Payne?), so what better time to get another round of NBA prop bets in before we coast into another brief offseason. Here are our Suns vs. Bucks NBA Finals prop picks and predictions for Game 6 on Tuesday, July 20.
Suns vs Bucks game info
• Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
• Date: Tuesday, July 20, 2021
• Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ABC
Suns vs Bucks player prop picks
- Devin Booker Over 30.5 points (-115)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 51.5 points+rebounds+assists (-120)
- Jrue Holiday Over 1.5 steals (-115)
(Read on for complete analysis.)
Suns vs Bucks player prop picks analysis
Devin Booker Over 30.5 points (-115)
One thing that's becoming clear with an ever-increasing sample is that Devin Booker is built for big moments.
Booker had one of his worst games of the season in Game 3's 10-point, 21-percent shooting catastrophe, and has responded with a collective 82 points on 56 percent over the past two games. For decent chunks of Game 5, Booker was the only Sun who could get the look he wanted, and after attempting 33 shots, it's evident that his primacy isn't in doubt with his team's season on the line.
Booker's averaging 30.0 ppg this series, a hair under his 30.5 total in Game 6's points market. But that average is drowned by Game 3's outlier dud. It's clear Booker is comfortable going at the Bucks D, and has had great success doing so the past two games.
Suggesting another 40-burger is ambitious, but Booker would need a serious regression to fall below this total, and we're not counting on him to shy away in this one.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 51.5 points+rebounds+assists (-120)
Full disclosure: This is a complete feel pick that, um, bucks most of this series' trends. But we're sensing a huge effort from Antetokounmpo.
Giannis has been a monster in this series. There's a reason why he's the overwhelming Finals MVP odds favorite.
And while he's only topped this total in two games so far (both of which he scored over 40 in), he's been able to so consistently have his way with Phoenix's hobbled, downsized, and, frankly, soft interior that the cadence would point to a huge Game 6 from him.
Giannis knows that this is his most important game ever from a legacy perspective, and has looked every bit the part of a hungry champion since his timid Game 1. He's figured the Suns out, and sees so much blood in the water.
We've said it before: the NBA playoffs are supremely influenced by superstars playing great. Count on the two-time MVP to dominate in a favorable matchup.
Jrue Holiday Over 1.5 steals (-115)
Holiday is a stunningly consistent ballhawk who's averaged within a percentage point of 1.5 steals in each of the past 11 seasons.
He's also a ruthless thief who pressures ballhandlers unlike few defenders in the NBA, and can fluster attackers with both a big, strong body and laser-precise timing on his swipes.
Game 5's two signature plays were both spawned by Holiday steals, and he's got six thefts in the past two games while topping this total in three of five Finals games thus far.
And while Holiday's offensive game has come and gone throughout this series, his ability to assert himself on defense is never in question — don't be surprised if he goes all-out in Game 6.
Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NBA Finals player prop picks, you could win $54.08 on a $10 bet?
Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
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