Bucks vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Denver Nuggets are a shell of themselves without Jokic, and Giannis Antetokounmpo will eat.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jan 11, 2026 • 09:19 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
DEN
0 %
MIL
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EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Milwaukee -2.5 (-110) Milwaukee -2.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) runs back on defense against the Golden State Warriors during the second quarter at Chase Center.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) runs back on defense against the Golden State Warriors during the second quarter at Chase Center.

The Milwaukee Bucks head to the Mile High City to face an injury-riddled Denver Nuggets group missing Nikola Jokic.

My Bucks vs. Nuggets predictions have Giannis Antetokounmpo and the surging Bucks taking care of business tonight at Ball Arena. 

Read on for my NBA picks for Sunday, January 11. 

Bucks vs Nuggets prediction

Bucks vs Nuggets best bet: Bucks -2.5 (-110)

The Denver Nuggets are currently a shell of themselves, missing the league’s most unstoppable force in Nikola Jokic (knee) and their primary interior backup Jonas Valanciunas (calf). 

Without their anchors, the Nuggets’ league-leading offense crumbled to just 87 points in their last outing.

Conversely, the Milwaukee Bucks have a massive size advantage tonight; without Jokic to contest him, Giannis Antetokounmpo should dominate the paint at will. 

Against a depleted Denver roster struggling to find its offensive rhythm, the Bucks are a steal at this narrow margin.

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Bucks vs Nuggets same-game parlay

Denver’s defense is historically vulnerable without Jokic and Valanciunas protecting the rim. 

This leaves the paint wide open for Giannis, who is averaging 29.2 ppg and should feast on easy dunks and points at the rim. 

Despite Denver's injuries, their "Over" rate is a staggering 63.2%, ensuring a high-paced, high-scoring affair.

Bucks vs Nuggets SGP

  • Bucks moneyline
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 points
  • Over 223

Our "from downtown" SGP: Myles High City

Giannis is the primary engine of Milwaukee's offense, averaging 5.5 assists and drawing Denver’s defense away from the perimeter. 

With the Nuggs' interior defense gutted by injuries, Myles Turner should easily clear 10.5 points against a vulnerable second-string frontcourt.

Bucks vs Nuggets SGP

  • Bucks moneyline
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 points
  • Over 223
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 4.5 assists
  • Myles Turner Over 10.5 points

Bucks vs Nuggets odds

  • Spread: Bucks -2 | Nuggets +2
  • Moneyline: Bucks -130 | Nuggets +110
  • Over/Under: Over 232.5 | Under 232.5

Bucks vs Nuggets betting trend to know

The Denver Nuggets have hit the game total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.63 Units / 24% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Nuggets.

How to watch Bucks vs Nuggets

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Sunday, January 11, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Wisconsin, Altitude

Bucks vs Nuggets latest injuries

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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